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Will any movie released in 2008 make it to the top 5 of this All-Time Worldwide Box office list?

Current forecast: 67% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 67% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

http://www.imdb.com/boxoffice/alltimegross?region=world-wide
Last year POC:At World's End made it to the top 5 and the year before that Dead Man's chest made it ...so will any movie make it there this year.
As far as I know there's a Batman movie in the making and the latest installment to the Indiana Jones series coming up .
http://www.imdb.com/boxoffice/alltimegross?region=world-wide
This questions suspends on the last Friday of the year to prevent "gaming".
 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Yes
67%
No
33%
Activity: H$116,307
Question suspends in 16 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: http://www.imdb.com/boxoffice/alltimegross?region=world-wide
Suspends on the last Friday of the year.

Suspend date: Fri 26th Dec 11:59pm PST (16 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Fri 4th Apr 3:58am PDT by satyaki
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: http://www.imdb.com/boxoffice/alltimegross?region=world-wide ... read all

 

Predictions (223)

223 predictions

1 day ago
luvjoy78 predicted No (H$100 at 33%)
1 day ago
hexerei predicted Yes (H$100 at 67%)
4 days ago
feelthymonkey predicted Yes (H$50 at 65%)
4 days ago
lalz_monik predicted Yes (H$50 at 65%)
1 week ago
beccae1 predicted Yes (H$100 at 60%)
more

Comments (37)

  1 satyaki
@ jerry - Try not to leave a comment here
posted 21 weeks ago
  2 satyaki
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:2008_films
Check it out.
posted 21 weeks ago
  3 chris[Admin]
If Pirates of the Caribbean 3: This Series is gonna go on longer than Police Academy, I swear can make it, then I reckon spiralling ticket prices mean *anything* can.
posted 21 weeks ago
Indiana Jones and Batman will both be big -- they have a good chance, but then Harry Potter will come out in November. Given the rapid increase in ticket prices, no question. Yes.
posted 21 weeks ago
author of this question is a proven cheat.
be careful what you bet on.
posted 21 weeks ago
  6 shadowfax
thanks jers for the post. look at how afraid he is of the truth with his first post here.
posted 21 weeks ago
  7 satyaki
It doesn't make a difference what comment jerry leaves here ..its just that this question is not one of those questions where I am probably the only one betting .
I'd be happy if he leaves a comment here instead -
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/ICL__Heroes_vs_Badshahs__6th_April__5354/view
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/ICLHeroes_vs_Badhshahs__7th_April__5355/view
posted 21 weeks ago
satyaki has been busted numerous times. He continued, even after promising Hubdubbers he wouldn't cheat again.
Yet hear he is, trying to sucker you into thinking he has mended his ways.

satyaki is abusing the system. has for quite a while now.
don't let him do it to you.

satyaki wants me to 'go away'.

he admits he wouldn't 'mind', if I posted my commentary on those questions where he was caught 'red-handed'.
he just doesn't want me to continue to track him down, and warn others of his criminal intent.

satyaki doesn't know that I'll continue to track him to the end of Hubdubworld if necessary, and that, the only place he might find sanctuary is to simply leave.

posted 21 weeks ago
  9 rohan
Aren't you going overboard? You talk as if satyaki has assassinated your President or something... All he did was cheat (which 40 out of 50 school students do).
Wrong ? Yes.
Needs to be corrected? Yes.
Needs to be hung/placed in front of a firing squad? No.

"satyaki doesn't know that I'll continue to track him to the end of Hubdubworld if necessary, and that, the only place he might find sanctuary is to simply leave. Are you obsessed?
posted 21 weeks ago
  10 satyaki
guys i've made another question for you to continue this arguement -
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/ICL__Heroes_vs_Badshahs__6th_April__5354/view
This is a clean question and I want to keep this out of it.
If you continue here you will receive no more responses from me.
posted 21 weeks ago
  11 crudsy
rohan this is the problem..he is wrong..again..it needs to be corrected..again..i will stop playing and let him be #1..might as well as at this point this is a mockery already..y is he still allowed to b on the site and create questions and play when he once again has proven he won't and y should people have to go through every one of his questions for which ones are cheating?..i look and see he still has all of his money and is continuing to participate..why?..but more importantly i can't believe the people running this site are letting him..he should have immediately been stopped from being allowed to participate..if something isnt done after this time im not going to waste my time anymore and then everybody will catch me
posted 21 weeks ago
  12 rohan
See, this may be going away from the point at hand: As much as we all like competing with others and being high on the leaderboard, the fact is that this is a news prediction site and that isn't happening. Sad, but true. What is the big deal about satyaki getting ahead of you? Does that make you a lesser being? Doe you lose respect? Or your job? If he wants to cheat, he must be stopped, but that doesn't make it a need to remove him from the website. Don't bother telling me that you have never cheated in your life (even if you do, I won't believe it). You're here to predict the news. Do that. You're here to give input. Do that. To have fun. Do that. But you're not here to be the Defence Minister or the Chief of police. You don't roam around in your neighborhood 24X7 looking for thieves, though you don't want them You report it to the police and let it be. Do that here. Mt argument may be flawed, but whatever. I'm still going to object to banning users, specially those who have reduced their gaming to a large extent. The temptation is there. Stop it, and you'll win. Trust me.
posted 21 weeks ago
  13 crudsy
thank u for ur advice..i can say whatever i think and what i think is that the admin of this site is alienating a lot of people for one person who has been proven once again to be cheating blatantly..y should that be rewarded by being on the leaderboard and having money to have fun with..he didnt earn it he cheated for it..i don't care about me but if u think its fair to other people who are trying to get there the right way then ur wrong..i was willing to have my money adjusted for the good of the site continuing which is more important then any one account but keeping a cheating persons account will lose me and others..i can be whatver i want thank u and if i was in charge of the site i would get rid of him to keep the integrity of the site intact especially because he did it again
posted 21 weeks ago
sry rohan,
i'm very sorry to hear that you of all people would be defending satyaki's actions. After all, you were the hubdubber who caught him in the act this last time. why the sudden change of heart?

seems to me that once again the hubdub community will have to sort this out on their own, considering that we've yet to hear back from donal (sports editor), or any other member of the Hubdub staff.

am I obsessed? Yes. actually, a more correct description is 'let down'. let down by satyaki, and let down by the admins on this issue. now, i'm let down by your support for this criminal. ok, i'll admit ;) that we're only talking $H here, but if he were cheating his way to game your pension fund, you'd be a bit more concerned.

rohan ...
"How can you possibly defend his actions?"

posted 21 weeks ago
  15 crudsy
i love it..hes reduced his gaming to a large extent..he did not reduce it at all he just changed to another topic nobody really follows..give me a break..i know u and the gamer think we r all idiots but believe it or not we may not be..but lets see what the admis do if anything
posted 21 weeks ago
  16 kruijs[Power User]
@jers: rohan did not defend sd's actions as such. I think his intention is more this one: Take some pressure of from this topic. Let some minutes pass and think again.
To make one thing clear: I am not taking position for anyone here. My way to handle this is just: Unfriend. As it is obvious that sd wants to get credits from other users (by being #1, by having many friends), that is the way to let him know, you do not appreciate what he is doing. If he doesn't like the site anymore, he will leave himself (I think that's what rohan wanted to say, I do not fully agree with what rohan said though).
posted 21 weeks ago
Just wanted to leave a comment relevant to the question: I think this is a good question.
posted 21 weeks ago
  18 ironman288
Ironman...no

batman...no

Harry Potter? Duh!

yes i am aware of the irony that i do not believe in the ironman movie!
posted 21 weeks ago
  19 rohan
hi.
I want to make it clear that I am

NOT


defending satyaki's actions: it's just that I felt going on "strike" and posting comments aren't sensible means to get what you want. But then, looking at the non-responsive staff, I think that that is the only way to go. Though I don't wanna go on strike.

I think that these measures hould be taken:
1. When questions are made which repreent local interests, by any user, then the question should be flagged and suspended. A user who actually knows something about this should be consulted and they should provide substantiated proof that the question is OK or not.
2. Satyaki: Reduce his H$ to $25,000. I don't think anything could be more bugging to him. ban him from creating more than 2 questions a week, which if voided for a gaming-related reason will lead to a fine of 25% of his wealth or double his wager, as the case may be.
3. Hubdub: become more responsive. PLEASE.
posted 21 weeks ago
  20 mork[Power User]
Please join the HubDubbers Strike! We are protesting the cheater known as "Satyaki" and hubdubs refusal to penalize him for artificially getting himself on the top ladder of the leader boards BY CHEATING!

Please go to these links and post a protest as well and HELP the HubDub Community regain it's integrity!
http://www.hubdub.com/public/contact
^ There's an email form on that page ^
Post your decision at:
http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/i_am_on_strike

mork (This user: Is On Strike)
posted 21 weeks ago
Hmmmmm ... I think Indiana Jones and Harry Potter have a shot.... Batman though I think will easillllly be in the top 4 for the year, will not make the Top 5 All Time unfortunately, nor will James Bond.
So I bet YES :-D

lucidstates
posted 18 weeks ago
WOW was I dead wrong!!!!!!!!!! As usual :-P

Indy sucked major and will not even break $300 million! The dumb film is crap and really made me mad that they blew such an opportunity just to make a quickie movie and ruin the Indy franchise!

I think Harry Potter is our final hope for this Q for the year, even though I think Batman, Wall-E and we know Iron Man was huge, still none of these are Top 5 All Time in my opinion. NOT that I have anything at all against them, I am simply looking at the math, and it just doesn't seem likely.

But, I've been wayyyy wrong on 70% of my movie predictions in the last 1.5 months :-P
posted 10 weeks ago
  23 ironman288
Harry potter is going to make a killing, especially since all the books are done now.
posted 10 weeks ago
  24 ironman288
just checked the list again. All five HP movies before this one are on the list, the lowest being 21. The first movie is the highest, but the last two movies released have showed improvement with the more recent doing better, and falling at 6 just a tiny bit short of PoC. In my opinion that shows HP 6 making top 3 at least.
posted 10 weeks ago
  25 ironman288
hm lucid, this is odd:

41. Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull (2008) $585,756,424

thats almost 600 million, lol. I just saw it and though it was very weird and I don't see how Shia can replace Ford without the whip, it was good. Just very, very weird.
posted 10 weeks ago
  26 ironman288
hm, HP doesn't come out until November, so this may very well not settle until some time next year...
posted 10 weeks ago
It may not settle for a couple of years, unless and until one of these movies makes it....
posted 7 weeks ago
I don't think we can leave this suspended indefinitely.... We need some clarification on this,,,, I'm gonna flag Ryan or a superhero down to check into this....
posted 7 weeks ago
  29 tisha[Admin]
This market is an event market, which asks whether a movie from 2008 will make it to the all-time top 5. This market will stay opened until it is settled as 'yes', or until it becomes reasonably clear that a movie will not make it to the all-time top 5
posted 7 weeks ago
Thanks Tisha :-D

When I said Indy would not break $300 million, I was talking about North American Box Office returns, however, I was still WRONG! LOL ... Indy stand at like $308.224 million, so I was way wrong, but it will still not even get close to the Top 5 All Time! Now will The Dark Knight, Iron Man, Wall-E, any of these, and I think the next HP will get into say the Top 10, but certainly not the Top 5.
posted 6 weeks ago
Btw, Indy 4 now stands just slightly behind the first Narnia film at #28 on the all time worldwide list with $743.371 million and needs another $200 million to make it to the #2 spot!! Ain't gonna happen with Indy 4.
posted 6 weeks ago
WOW ... Looks like Im gonna be wrong :-P .......... THE DARK KNIGHT Rocks!!!!!!!!!!!
posted 4 weeks ago
I don't think that people realize that the Dark Knight will need to pull in $363.6 million more dollars to make this.
posted 3 weeks ago
In addition, you'll notice that on the list below, it has the highest percentage of money from the US. None of the top 5 movies are even at 40%. Dark Knight, over 66%:
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/world/
posted 3 weeks ago
  35 ryanb37
dark knight is now #3 acording to Cnn
posted 2 weeks ago
  36 ryanb37
well in the us
posted 2 weeks ago
  37 paulcroft
And HP latest movie has now changed the release date until July 2009:

http://www.rte.ie/arts/2008/0820/harrypotter.html

That changes the possibilities here!
posted 1 week ago

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