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Will any movie released in Germany in 2008 gross more than $800 million worldwide?

Current forecast: 72% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 72% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Take careful note of the question before betting.
It means that an American movie released in Germany also qualifies.
 
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Yes
72%
No
28%
Activity: H$27,548
Question suspends in 20 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (20 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Wed 30th Apr 12:33pm PDT by junkie_1
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions

5 days ago
dragonfangxl predicted No (H$20 at 27%)
6 days ago
guibraguim predicted Yes (H$100 at 75%)
1 week ago
ryanj[Admin] predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 77%)
1 week ago
jamalpeter predicted Yes (H$100 at 76%)
1 week ago
anaverageamerican[Power User] predicted Yes (H$100 at 77%)
more

Comments

3 movies last year topped $800 million worldwide! And 4 films made more than $791 million!
This year we have Indiana Jones amongst other big, big, big films.
posted 13 weeks ago
anyone want to bet HP opens in Germany? theres a billion in that one at least.
posted 6 weeks ago
I've already put 3500 down to agree with you!
posted 6 weeks ago
  4 skirvir
I don't understand the point of the question, it almost seems to be written intentionally to be misleading, why not just say will any movie released in the year make more than 800 million worldwide? Whats the significance of Germany in the question?
posted 6 weeks ago
Funny, I posted almost the exact same flag nearly 2 months ago... The admin at the time didn't respond though, so I guess she didn't think it was that confusing.

posted 6 weeks ago
  6 bayoubear[Admin]
Got to admit I'm confused too by the inclusion of Germany in the title...could have just as easily been Montenegro...or Shreveport, Louisiana
posted 1 week ago

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