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Will anyone claim the main Google X Lunar Prize?

Background: The Google Lunar X PRIZE is a $30 million international competition to safely land a robot on the surface of the Moon, travel 500 meters over the lunar surface, and send images and data back to the Earth. Teams must be at least 90% privately funded and must be registered to compete by December 31, 2010. The first team to land on the Moon and complete the mission objectives will be awarded $20 million; the full first prize is available until December 31, 2012. After that date, the first prize will drop to $15 million. The second team to do so will be awarded $5 million. Another $5 million will awarded in bonus prizes. The final deadline for winning the prize is December 31, 2014.

Google X Lunar Prize website

Settlement details:As determined by the Google X Lunar Prize committee. See guidleines on settlement here:
http://www.googlelunarxprize.org/lunar/competition/guidelines

 
Forecast history %
Yes
32%
No
68%
Question suspends in 3 years
 

Predictions (11)

17 weeks ago
nuaetius predicted Yes (H$100 at 32%)
51 weeks ago
teamdiscoverychannel predicted Yes (H$100 at 32%)
51 weeks ago
aleksejenko predicted Yes (H$100 at 31%)
1 year ago
freeze predicted Yes (H$20 at 31%)
1 year ago
nuaetius predicted No (H$20 at 69%)

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