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Will london be buried under sea in the next ten years due to global warming?

Current forecast: 16% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 16% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Yes
16%
No
84%
Activity: H$-943
Question suspends in 9 years
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Mon 1st Jan 2018 11:59pm PST (9 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 15%

Action history:

Created Wed 30th Jan 4:49am PST by replica
Edited Thu 6th Mar 12:51pm PST by chris[Admin]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (26)

26 predictions

19 weeks ago
haagendazs predicted No (H$100 at 84%)
19 weeks ago
detritus predicted No (H$20 at 84%)
20 weeks ago
samuraijen predicted No (H$100 at 84%)
20 weeks ago
squeak predicted No (H$100 at 84%)
20 weeks ago
barrettino predicted No (H$100 at 84%)
more

Comments (4)

  1 shadowfax
if London is buried under the sea by 2018, HD and alot more will not be around to settle this.
lets stick to fun informative q/wagers! c'mon folks lets cause some hubub about HD by going here www.hubdubforum.com
posted 30 weeks ago
Please post

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/7195752.stm

a recent bbc article on sea level rise and its potential effects on several low-elevation communities including London.

Thank you for pointing out the likelihood of imminent diasters to coastal areas and helping educate the general public about this.
posted 28 weeks ago
In response to shadowfax, I suspect that hubdub and others will have at least a month's warning if half of Greenland suddenly melts. Several hundred square miles have already been lost. It is probably only a question of time.
posted 28 weeks ago
  4 shadowfax
I concur that this Q actually is informative and educational. Thanks for correcting me on my newbie reaction to this venue. I also appreciate the link post.
posted 27 weeks ago

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