Created Fri 25th Jan 2008 8:54am PST by

Will print newspapers cease by 2014?

Background: World Economic Forum Futurist Panel suggests they will: http://www.followthemedia.com/fittoprint/wef25012008.htm

Settlement details:This question will be settled as a YES if the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, the Times of London and the Daily Telegraph (London) are no longer printed on a daily basis by the end of 2014.

Forecast history %

Yes

19%

81%

Question suspends in 5 years

Activity: H$6,752
Predictions: 24
Comments: 6

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2014 11:59pm PST (5 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Fri 25th Jan 2008 8:54am PST by

nigeleccles [Admin]

Edited Thu 6th Mar 2008 1:51pm PST by

andrew Level 9, Expert (H$9,813)

Settlement requested Tue 25th Mar 2008 5:31am PST by

tomg

: testing testing please ignore

hide

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2014 11:59pm PST (5 years to go) details

Get widget!

Post on Digg Delicious Reddit Facebook

Predictions (24)

17 weeks ago

mariegriffiths Level 3, Apprentice (H$1,117)

predicted No (H$100 at 81%)

31 weeks ago

martina Level 6, Player (H$2,124)

predicted No (H$100 at 81%)

46 weeks ago

codfight Level 1, Newbie (H$946)

predicted No (H$100 at 80%)

51 weeks ago

aleksejenko Level 7, Pro (H$3,840)

predicted Yes (H$100 at 19%)

1 year ago

fractious Level 5, Predictor (H$1,594)

predicted No (H$100 at 81%)

Comments (6)

donal

If at all, then I would project newspapers ceasing well beyond 2014. There will still be a generation of people around who are accustomed to buying print.

posted 1 year ago

dzoe

I imagine today's broadsheets have a chance of seeing 2014. In any event, some form of newspaper (consider the possibility of an "art newspaper") will persist indefinitely.

posted 1 year ago

gwandja Level 5, Predictor (H$1,405)

brilliant question. just have 2 wait 6 years for the answer.

posted 1 year ago

meanderingsearcher Level 1, Newbie (H$14)

todays broadsheets are in a circulation war that will result in the cover price per copy dropping until the newspapers are free. as advertising prices are based on total circulation, the more copies that they can verify as being distributed will allow for higher advertising revenues (ie frecopies for hospitals, schools, libraries, etc..). the "free copy" newspapers will squeeze out the free weekly community TMC's (Total Market Coverage) papers and the "arts" papers because the "free copy" newspapers will still have hard news coverage. as the weekly TMC's lose the fight for advertising dollars the "free copy" papers will gain, again, on the inserting market (you know when you hold your paper over the recycle bin and shake all the crap out so that you can read the newspaper). then the free copy newspapers will have to become more reliant on local news so that the local population will read their copy, and hence be exposed to their advertisers, thereby increasing their advertising revenues. however as hard news will be more readily available to the reader via the internet, the newspapers will slowly focus on more and more local news until the point is reached the they have stop running real news and are over-sized TMC insert packages (ie the shaking over the garbage can thing). the question should "when will newspapers no longer become a source of viable news-worthy stories?
live from my livingromm, this is meanderingseacher and that is what i think about that

posted 1 year ago

notablenotices [Power User]

The Seattle Post-Intelligencer, the 146-year-old US newspaper, will print its final edition on Tuesday before becoming a strictly online operation.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7947226.stm

posted 35 weeks ago

ksol

What's print new paper?

posted 28 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

Stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real news stories! Win more if you're right and climb the leaderboards Learn more...

By joining you are agreeing to our terms of service

Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags

score: 10

Victoria Times Colonist to cease printing Monday editions

CNEWS 27 weeks ago

alone in adjusting its publishing schedule to reflect changes in the media industry. It says many North American newspapers have reduced their in-print editions, and several Canadian and U.S. newspapers have ceased publishing a Monday edition

score: 10

Victoria Times Colonist will cease printing Monday edition, starting June 22

CNEWS 27 weeks ago

score: 10

The Senate's Funeral for Newspapers

Washington Post 28 weeks ago

left out. 'Whether you read The Washington Post or my hometown newspaper, the Murdo Coyote, all of those newspapers make a contribution to their communities,' he said. It was getting very morose. Fortunately, Kerry livened up the proceedings by inviting

score: 10

Senate hears a dim forecast for newspapers' future

Boston Globe 28 weeks ago

WASHINGTONOne way to save some of the nation's struggling newspapers would be to let them become nonprofits similar to public broadcasting stations, a senator said Wednesday as editors and other journalists painted a grim future for daily print

score: 10

Senate hears grim forecast for newspapers

CNBC 28 weeks ago

WASHINGTON - One way to save some of the nation's struggling newspapers would be to let them become nonprofits similar to public broadcasting stations, a senator said Wednesday as editors and other journalists painted a grim future for daily print