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Will protesters seize the Olympic Torch before it reaches Beijing?

Settled as No

The Torch has reached Beijing and during its journey it was never seized by protesters, although there were some close call.

Background:

Background: Upheaval and protest have followed the Olympic Torch since it began its worldwide journey on April 1, 2008. Reports of violence, arrest, and talk of the torch being extinguished have been hitting front pages. Here is what has been happening so far:

London:
Police said 37 people were arrested for a range of public order offenses. Security for the event was tight, with the torchbearers surrounded by an inner ring of Chinese security agents and an outer ring of British agents to shield them from repeated onslaughts.

http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2008/04/07/asia/AS-GEN-OLY-Beijing-Torch.php

Paris:
The Olympic torch met more trouble in Paris on Monday with reports officials had been forced to extinguish the flame to escape from anti-China protesters.

http://ukpress.google.com/article/ALeqM5hgegzPLb9mfkQqO-awABiH7r2CyQ

San Francisco:
Three activists protesting Chinese human rights violations in Tibet climbed a suspension cable of the Golden Gate Bridge today, two days before the Olympic torch relay is scheduled to arrive here.
http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-climbers8apr08,0,4169061.story

So what will happen along the Torch's long and troubled route? Will protesters take the torch, if not momentarily?

Take a look at the route here:
http://torchrelay.beijing2008.cn/en/

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
0%
No
100%
Settled as No on Thu 7th Aug 2008 5:55pm PST

Suspend date: Thu 7th Aug 2008 7:59am PST
Settlement date: Thu 7th Aug 2008 5:55pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 7th Aug 2008 7:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 35%

Action history:

Created Mon 7th Apr 2008 4:20pm PST by nubbins
Settlement requested Tue 8th Apr 2008 3:34am PST by kartik: I saw on Yahoo! news that a protester in London grabbed ahold of the torch with both of his hands.
Settlement requested Sat 12th Jul 2008 7:17pm PST by skipper: I believe the torch relay is over... looked and didn't see anything about protesters seizing the Torch.
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2008-07/12/content_8533880.htm
Clarified Sun 13th Jul 2008 12:42am PST by tisha[Admin]: I agree, I don't think it is over just yet
Suspended Thu 7th Aug 2008 7:59am PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 7th Aug 2008 11:24am PST by tarpash: http://olympics.thestar.com/2008/article/473663

The torch is in Beijing and no one has seized it.
Settled as 'No' Thu 7th Aug 2008 5:55pm PST by ryanj: The Torch has reached Beijing and during its journey it was never seized by protesters, although there were some close call.

Suspend date: Thu 7th Aug 2008 7:59am PST
Settlement date: Thu 7th Aug 2008 5:55pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 7th Aug 2008 7:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (109)

1 year ago
spurt34 predicted No (H$1 at 100%)
1 year ago
eckertkid predicted No (H$9,493 at 99%)
1 year ago
handbanana34 predicted No (H$20 at 99%)
1 year ago
mrfesta predicted No (H$100 at 99%)
1 year ago
paul444 predicted No (H$246 at 99%)

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