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Will space shuttle Discovery (STS-124) launch on May 31 2008?

Settled as Yes

http://www.spaceref.com/news/viewnews.html?id=1292

Background:

Currently the launch is 'targeted for' 31st May, 5.01 PM EDT.
But, as we already know, a launch can always be delayed for multiple of reasons. Should this be the case?
 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
95%
No
5%
Activity: H$119,208
Settled as Yes on Sat 31st May 8:30pm PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Sat 31st May 2pm PDT

Settlement date: Sat 31st May 8:30pm PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 31st May 3pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Sat 5th Apr 1:15pm PDT by orlin
Suspended Sat 31st May 2pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Suspended Sat 31st May 2pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sat 31st May 4:13pm PDT by chatarra: Should be settled as "Yes".

Google News Search showing a variety of news sources.
http://news.google.com/news?q=sts+124&ie=UTF-8
Unsuspended Sat 31st May 8:28pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]
Settled as 'Yes' Sat 31st May 8:30pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: http://www.spaceref.com/news/viewnews.html?id=1292
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (187)

187 predictions

14 weeks ago
pdubswhat predicted Yes (H$100 at 95%)
14 weeks ago
pmag predicted Yes (H$100 at 95%)
14 weeks ago
thereverend predicted Yes (H$100 at 95%)
14 weeks ago
guibraguim predicted Yes (H$50 at 94%)
14 weeks ago
dragon01 predicted No (H$20 at 6%)
more

Comments (4)

This market seems to have settled out nicely...

"Forecasters put the odds of good launch weather at 80 percent. Conditions worsen on the following days because of the threat of thunderstorms."
from this:
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5h1W8dcUP9H70AmlSfDSenPteDT9gD9104B602


posted 14 weeks ago
well, now it's down...
posted 14 weeks ago
  3 siudude
I don't know, the weather at Zaragoza and the other TAL sites looks iffy. I vote no.
posted 14 weeks ago
what if it blows up after a few inches or feet, is that a launch...

(from wikipedia) A rocket launch is the first phase of the flight of a rocket. For orbital spaceflights, or for launches into interplanetary space, rockets are launched from a launch pad, which is usually a fixed location on the ground but may also be on a floating platform such as the San Marco platform, or the Sea Launch launch vessel.

if it doesn't complete this first phase, is it a launch....in other words, does it have to be a success, and what is a success, does blowing up after a few feet or a hundred, or a thousand feet constitute a successful launch?

We clearly need clarification, just in case...
posted 14 weeks ago

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