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Created Wed 2nd Apr 2008 8:58pm PST by sahoo

Will the 100m men's world record in running be broken in the beijing olympics?

Settled as Yes

... and he wasn't even going to race!
http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/AT/C73A/ATM001101.shtml#ATM001101

Background:

Background: Possibly the most anticipated (and hyped) match up of the Olympic games: three amazing athletes in the marquee event of the games. Jamaican teammates Asafa Powell, Usain Bolt and the USA’s Tyson Gay all hold valid claims to the title of Worlds Fastest Man and now they will go head to head. Powell has held the record for quite some time, only to have it snatched away by Bolt at the end of May. Tyson Gay, of course, has recently run the fastest time ever recorded for the 100m dash, a wind-aided 9.68 seconds. No matter who wins, there’s a definite chance the world record will fall again when these three men face each other in the finals on August 16th.

Source: http://blog.hubdub.com/2008/08/03/2008-olympics-mini-preview-track-and-field/

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
49%
No
51%
Settled as Yes on Sat 16th Aug 2008 6:50am PST

Suspend date: Sat 16th Aug 2008 6:30am PST
Settlement date: Sat 16th Aug 2008 6:50am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 16th Aug 2008 6:30am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Wed 2nd Apr 2008 8:58pm PST by sahoo
Suspended Sat 5th Apr 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Edited Sun 6th Apr 2008 6:47am PST by ryanj
Suspended Sat 16th Aug 2008 6:30am PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Yes' Sat 16th Aug 2008 6:50am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: ... and he wasn't even going to race!
http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/AT/C73A/ATM001101.shtml#ATM001101

Suspend date: Sat 16th Aug 2008 6:30am PST
Settlement date: Sat 16th Aug 2008 6:50am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 16th Aug 2008 6:30am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (65)

1 year ago
sdassani predicted No (H$50 at 51%)
1 year ago
infernalmachine[Power User] predicted Yes (H$100 at 31%)
1 year ago
triathematician predicted No (H$100 at 69%)
1 year ago
legojedi predicted Yes (H$20 at 31%)
1 year ago
scottmliddell predicted Yes (H$200 at 30%)

Comments (7)

  1 triathematician
What's with the early suspend date?
posted 1 year ago
  2 ryanj
Email sent to the creator, waiting for him to get back to me?

Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
posted 1 year ago
  3 ryanj
He never got back to me, therefore I've edited the market. Giving it a longer suspend date.

Regards,

Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
posted 1 year ago
  4 pitchedoutsideleg
This could be running or swimming.
posted 1 year ago
  5 donal
I'm going for running on this
posted 1 year ago
  6 destry[Admin]
Can you edit the question to reflect that new official stance.
posted 1 year ago
  7 forbichoff
i think the term is 'sprinting'. ;)
posted 1 year ago

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