Home Hubdub logo
 
Home
Leaderboards

Will the 2008 Canadian budget trigger an election in Canada?

Settled as No

If the budget fails to pass then it is an automatic vote of non-confidence and the minority government will fall, triggering an election.
 
% chance over time
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
16%
No
84%
Activity: H$10,801
Settled as No on Sat 8th Mar 6:52am PST
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source such as the CBC or Globe and Mail. If the budget fails to pass then it is an automatic vote of non-confidence and the minority government will fall, triggering an election.

Suspend date: Tue 1st Apr 12:59am PDT

Settlement date: Sat 8th Mar 6:52am PST

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 7th Mar 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Mon 28th Jan 11:12am PST by ratel
Edited Thu 6th Mar 2:30pm PST by ryanj[Admin]
Settlement requested Sat 8th Mar 6:16am PST by infernalmachine[Power User]: Budget passed last week
http://money.canoe.ca/News/TopPhoto/2008/03/05/4919496-cp.html
so answer is NO
Settled as 'No' Sat 8th Mar 6:52am PST by lesley[Admin]: Budget passed, no election.
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source such as the CBC or Globe and Mail. If the budget fails to pass then it is an automatic vote of non-confidence and the minority government will fall, triggering an election. ... read all

 
22 weeks ago
myunion predicted No (H$20)
22 weeks ago
myunion predicted No (H$20)
22 weeks ago
cn3089 predicted Yes (H$25)
23 weeks ago
krobson predicted Yes (H$50)
24 weeks ago
ratel predicted Yes (H$50)
24 weeks ago
canadianveggie predicted Yes (H$10)
25 weeks ago
cn3089 predicted No (H$10)
25 weeks ago
seth predicted Yes (H$100)
25 weeks ago
mcnamara predicted Yes (H$100)
25 weeks ago
ihopeimright predicted Yes (H$100)
  1 ratel
how can it be zero? did somebody throw 100,000 into it?
this seems odd, do you guys have bug?
posted 23 weeks ago
  2 ratel
hmm, well maybe its just that no one is voting on it, I just put $60 in and it moved up to 6%, so its probably fine
posted 23 weeks ago
  3 ratel
the budget comes out tomorrow, so this will be decided before the original settlement date, but still don't know when
posted 21 weeks ago

Please log in or join to post a comment.

New to Hubdub?

Hubdub lets you play at predicting the outcomes of real running news questions

Start playing or learn more