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Will the Canadian Dollar reach $1.10 USD during the summer of 2008?

Forecast: No (56% chance 2% )
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is No with a probability of 56% (up 2% in last 1 day)

Last year the Canadian Dollar reached a high of $1.1024 in November. It has since dropped to at or just below parity with the US Dollar, but Canada's economy remains relatively strong against the US economy.

 
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Yes
44%
No
56%
Total activity: H$24,632
Question suspends in 18 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
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  • Question status: Open
  • Suspend date: Sat 20th Sep 11:59pm PST (18 weeks to go)
  • Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.
  • Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%
Created Wed 16th Apr 2:13pm PST by paulcroft
Keywords: canada dollar, us dollar, exchange rates
1 7 30 365
day(s)
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  1 epicur
Are we going to define summer as beginning on 21st June, the day of the summer solstice and ending on the day of 20th September at midnight PST?
posted 3 weeks ago
  2 lesley[Admin]
This question is already set to suspend on Sat 20th Sep 11:59pm PST (22 weeks), the autumn equinox. As this is the astrononmical measurement of the last day of summer, it is only fair to take the astrononmical first day of summer, June 21st, as the beginning of the question (although for UK/Europe most people would go with 1st June being the beginning of summer). Therefore, if the dollar reaches (or exceeds) the figure stated BETWEEN June 1st and Sept 20th, inclusive, it will be settled as yes. If it reaches (or exceeds) the figure only before or after that duration, it will be settled as no.

Hope that's ok with everyone.

Lesley.
posted 3 weeks ago
  3 paulcroft
I will take Lesley's interpretation. When I created the question I screwed up on that part and should have put it as between NOW and the end of summer (Sept 20th) ... but since I did state summer without any other qualifiers ... then it should only count as during the summer season... and since the question relates to a North American country, it should be counted as the summer season during that country.
posted 2 weeks ago

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Will the Canadian Dollar reach $1.10 USD during the summer of 2008?
Yes
1 day ago
No user imagesatelliteguy predicted Yes (H$20)
1 day ago
No user imagerobroydude predicted No (H$50)
2 days ago
No user imagekgholderman predicted Yes (H$20)
3 days ago
No user imageprince predicted No (H$20)
3 days ago
No user imagekolia39 predicted Yes (H$100)
4 days ago
No user imagetimkraan predicted No (H$50)
4 days ago
No user imagejacktheseer predicted Yes (H$4,000)
5 days ago
hookem08 predicted No (H$400)
5 days ago
No user imagemrgenealogist predicted Yes (H$100)
5 days ago
No user imagerooooo predicted No (H$100)