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Will the Dutch ban magic mushrooms?

Current forecast: ban on the cultivation and use of the mushrooms (52% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is ban on the cultivation and use of the mushrooms with a probability of 52% (unchanged in last 1 day)

The Dutch cabinet has proposed a bill to ban the sale of hallucinogenic or so-called "magic mushrooms".

A majority of MPs is expected to back the proposal, which comes after a number of accidents, mostly involving tourists.

The ban on the cultivation and use of the mushrooms means most of Smart Shops will have to close.

The shop owners argue that users will now buy dried mushrooms, which are already illegal.

The Mayor of Amsterdam, Job Cohen, has proposed as a compromise, a three-day cooling-off period between getting the information on magic mushrooms in the Smart Shops and actually buying them.

Full Story: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7369431.stm
 
% chance over time
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ban on the cultivation and use of the mushrooms
52%
bill passes with three day 'cooling off period' included
27%
bill is outright rejected
18%
other
3%
Activity: H$7,144
Question suspends in 3 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Mon 1st Sep 8:59am PDT (3 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: ban on the cultivation and use of the mushrooms: 40%, bill passes with three day 'cooling off period' included: 40%, bill is outright rejected: 15%, other: 5%

Action history:

Created Sun 27th Apr 1:54am PDT by mork[Power User]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions

1 hour ago
chilibean13 predicted bill is outright rejected (H$20 at 18%)
1 day ago
jhouseholder predicted bill passes with three day 'cooling off period' included (H$20 at 27%)
2 weeks ago
pepe predicted other (H$10 at 3%)
3 weeks ago
bout3fitty predicted bill is outright rejected (H$189 at 16%)
3 weeks ago
rooooo predicted bill passes with three day 'cooling off period' included (H$50 at 28%)
more

Comments

Prohibition mannnnnn :-(
posted 14 weeks ago
  2 mork[Power User]
Dutch Ban on Magic Mushrooms Moves Closer
http://stopthedrugwar.org/chronicle/534/dutch_magic_mushroom_ban
posted 11 weeks ago
Mork, Time frame??
posted 11 weeks ago
  4 mork[Power User]
Sorry valor... I not be knowing
posted 11 weeks ago
  5 kruijs[Power User]
Dutch Ban on Magic Mushrooms Moves Further Away
http://www.nisnews.nl/public/030708_2.htm
http://www.telegraaf.nl/binnenland/1409928/__Paddo_s_nog_legaal_in_de_zomer__.html?p=37,1

till after the parliamentary summer recess.
posted 5 weeks ago
  6 dieseldog
don't know how the dutch get their schrooms, but in fla their free. you need i think its 80 degree temp with moisture (rain or dew) and a cow pasture. they grow right out of the manure. most people don't even eat the schroom. boil them for 20 minutes, and mix the juice with your favorite beverage. drink that and hold and tight cause your gonna get one wild buzz.
posted 5 weeks ago
  7 lesley[Admin]
I've put in a suspend date for Sept 1st. If the decision has still not been made by that time, the suspend date will be extended as appropriate.

Lesley
Hubdub Category Manager
posted 4 weeks ago

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