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Will the Google phone hit the stores this year?

Background: The Observer of London is reporting that Google is working with HTC and mobile/telecom giant Orange to build a Google Mobile Phone, which has the Google Android software inside the device. The device, article speculates, could go on sale in 2008.

Clarification: Google phone for this question is defined as a mobile phone that either (1) ships with Android installed and carries the Google logo on the handset, OR (2) is widely called the Google phone in the press. (Or both).

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
99%
No
1%
Settled as Yes on Tue 23rd Sep 2008 8:48am PST

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 23rd Sep 2008 8:48am PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Thu 7th Feb 2008 4:25am PST by priyadarsan
Edited Mon 25th Feb 2008 4:06pm PST by lesley[Admin]
Edited Thu 6th Mar 2008 12:32pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]
Settlement requested Tue 23rd Sep 2008 5:23am PST by orlin: Yes

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/technology/7630888.stm
Settled as 'Yes' Tue 23rd Sep 2008 8:48am PST by tomg[Admin]: http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5haxFtox0GJSD-uopVMLkXgtWJSJQD93CH39G0

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 23rd Sep 2008 8:48am PST details

 

Predictions (176)

1 year ago
amortifiedpenguin predicted No (H$20 at 8%)
1 year ago
fourgrays predicted Yes (H$20 at 92%)
1 year ago
janalyst predicted Yes (H$220 at 92%)
1 year ago
yakuzamistress predicted Yes (H$25 at 92%)
1 year ago
gribeiro predicted No (H$100 at 8%)

Comments (5)

  1 greggles
This seals the deal for me: http://www.pbs.org/cringely/pulpit/2008/pulpit_20080215_004309.html

Cringley is occasionally wrong with his predictions, but rarely wrong when he gets a lead like this.
posted 1 year ago
Why does this question suspend at the end of February, when the question asks "Will the google phone hit the stores this year? ... "The device, article speculates, could go on sale in 2008."

As I see it, this will suspend further predictions, but hold up the settlement until January 1, 2009.
posted 1 year ago
  3 greggles
I see two questions here:

A Google branded phone or just a phone based on Android?

To me, a "Google branded phone" would be a phone with the Google name on the box, on the physical phone itself, marketed and sold by Google. In contrast, an Android phone is just any phone that runs the Android operating system: http://code.google.com/android/

So...which kind of phone are we talking about here?

@newswrangler - it appears that this is no longer suspending in February...
posted 1 year ago
  5 tomg[Admin]
Clarification: Google phone for this question is defined as a mobile phone that either (1) ships with Android installed and carries the Google logo on the handset, OR (2) is widely called the Google phone in the press. (Or both).
posted 1 year ago

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