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Will the Google phone hit the stores this year?

Settled as Yes

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5haxFtox0GJSD-uopVMLkXgtWJSJQD93CH39G0

Background:

The Observer of London is reporting that Google is working with HTC and mobile/telecom giant Orange to build a Google Mobile Phone, which has the Google Android software inside the device. The device, article speculates, could go on sale in 2008.

Clarification: Google phone for this question is defined as a mobile phone that either (1) ships with Android installed and carries the Google logo on the handset, OR (2) is widely called the Google phone in the press. (Or both).


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
99%
No
1%
Activity: H$65,746
Settled as Yes on Tue 23rd Sep 9:48am PDT

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) Settlement date: Tue 23rd Sep 9:48am PDT

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Thu 7th Feb 4:25am PST by priyadarsan
Edited Mon 25th Feb 4:06pm PST by lesley[Admin]
Edited Thu 6th Mar 12:32pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]
Settlement requested Tue 23rd Sep 6:23am PDT by orlin: Yes

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/technology/7630888.stm

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) Settlement date: Tue 23rd Sep 9:48am PDT
more info...

 

Predictions (176)

176 predictions

8 weeks ago
amortifiedpenguin predicted No (H$20 at 8%)
8 weeks ago
fourgrays predicted Yes (H$20 at 92%)
8 weeks ago
janalyst predicted Yes (H$220 at 92%)
8 weeks ago
yakuzamistress predicted Yes (H$25 at 92%)
8 weeks ago
gribeiro predicted No (H$100 at 8%)
more

Comments (5)

  1 greggles
This seals the deal for me: http://www.pbs.org/cringely/pulpit/2008/pulpit_20080215_004309.html

Cringley is occasionally wrong with his predictions, but rarely wrong when he gets a lead like this.
posted 39 weeks ago
Why does this question suspend at the end of February, when the question asks "Will the google phone hit the stores this year? ... "The device, article speculates, could go on sale in 2008."

As I see it, this will suspend further predictions, but hold up the settlement until January 1, 2009.
posted 39 weeks ago
  3 greggles
I see two questions here:

A Google branded phone or just a phone based on Android?

To me, a "Google branded phone" would be a phone with the Google name on the box, on the physical phone itself, marketed and sold by Google. In contrast, an Android phone is just any phone that runs the Android operating system: http://code.google.com/android/

So...which kind of phone are we talking about here?

@newswrangler - it appears that this is no longer suspending in February...
posted 24 weeks ago
  5 tomg[Admin]
Clarification: Google phone for this question is defined as a mobile phone that either (1) ships with Android installed and carries the Google logo on the handset, OR (2) is widely called the Google phone in the press. (Or both).
posted 9 weeks ago

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