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Will the International Atomic Energy Agency find the bombed Syrian reactor was not nuclear afterall?

Background: Last week, Washington released intelligence alleging Syria had built a nuclear reactor with North Korean help before an Israeli air strike destroyed the facility on Sept. 6.

The Syrian site Israel bombed in September was not part of a nuclear weapons programme, but was a military facility under construction, President Bashar al-Assad said in remarks published on Sunday.

The International Atomic Energy Agency said yesterday it would investigate US claims that Syria had tried to build a nuclear reactor with North Korean help.

Full Story: http://therealnews.com/web/index.php?thisdataswitch=0&thisid=1411&thisview=item

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
38%
No
62%
Open question (no suspend date)

Suspend date: None

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 45%

Action history:

Created Mon 28th Apr 2008 12:20am PST by mork[Power User]

Suspend date: None details

 

Predictions (167)

22 weeks ago
madhu4125 predicted Yes (H$35 at 38%)
22 weeks ago
hashishguru predicted No (H$100 at 62%)
36 weeks ago
pete_claasen predicted No (H$100 at 62%)
38 weeks ago
er_lover predicted No (H$100 at 62%)
38 weeks ago
jpkoester1 predicted No (H$333 at 62%)

Comments (23)

  1 randburg
A Great Question with great history and links!

But be sure to read the question fully and be careful of the "opposites":

YES = It was NOT A NUCLEAR PLANT

NO = Yes it was A NUCLEAR PLANT
posted 1 year ago
Nice observations Randburg ... I bet YES :-D
posted 1 year ago
Mork thanks for continual great questions dude :-D
posted 1 year ago
  4 kruijs[Power User]
Don't you never use no double negation :-P
posted 1 year ago
  5 mork[Power User]
Thank You guys
posted 1 year ago
  6 randburg
I agree with lucid: YES sounds about right...
posted 1 year ago
  8 mork[Power User]
It's been bulldozed.
IAEA says they should know in a few weeks.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/05/11/AR2008051102029.html
posted 1 year ago
a few weeks minus one week
posted 1 year ago
  10 mork[Power User]
It is a low-key endeavor: Only four International Atomic Energy Agency inspectors will participate in the three-day project starting Sunday, and both Damascus and the U.N. agency have pulled down the blinds on news media seeking to report on the trip, keeping all details secret.

http://www.newsvine.com/_news/2008/06/21/1598365-un-inspectors-face-tough-job-in-syria
posted 1 year ago
  11 mork[Power User]
VIENNA, June 26--International Atomic Energy Agency inspectors have praised Syria for cooperation in a probe into an alleged nuclear site, saying the investigation is off to "a good start".
After four days in Syria on his return to Vienna, IAEA deputy director general Olli Heinonen told reporters Wednesday that inspectors were able to take extensive test samples at the site.
However, Heinonen said it was "too early" to draw conclusions about the nature of the site, which Syria says "was an ordinary military building."
http://www.alalam.ir/english/en-NewsPage.asp?newsid=032030120080626082855
posted 1 year ago
  12 mork[Power User]
VIENNA, June 26--International Atomic Energy Agency inspectors have praised Syria for cooperation in a probe into an alleged nuclear site, saying the investigation is off to "a good start".
After four days in Syria on his return to Vienna, IAEA deputy director general Olli Heinonen told reporters Wednesday that inspectors were able to take extensive test samples at the site.
However, Heinonen said it was "too early" to draw conclusions about the nature of the site, which Syria says "was an ordinary military building."
http://www.alalam.ir/english/en-NewsPage.asp?newsid=032030120080626082855
posted 1 year ago
  13 mork[Power User]
oops
posted 1 year ago
dot eye are, hmmmmmmmmmm.

I wonder if "impartial" means not favoring an I.E.D. over a scimitar to the head on video.
posted 1 year ago
  15 mork[Power User]
Mystery assassination stalls nuclear probe.
http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/babylonbeyond/2008/09/syria-mystery-a.html
posted 1 year ago
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fg-syria11-2008nov11,0,7617259.story

Not conclusive, but leaning more toward it being a nuke plant.
posted 1 year ago
Searching iaea.org, I found that they did want further investigation after the September report and were going to discuss this in detail at the November meeting of the Board of Governors in Vienna. At that meeting, the board decided not to make public an updated report they received on this. So we're still in limbo for a while, I guess.
posted 46 weeks ago
  18 chatarra
@CCV
Thank you for updating this question with your response.
I have decided to try and find settlement info on some of my suspended questions, as I could use the $H, if the settlement is in my favor.
Even if it is not in my favor, I have nearly 2.5 pages of suspended questions and I would like to clean that up.
posted 46 weeks ago
  19 cjg999
Cheney is confident it was a nuclear facility. http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5iZHkO0iVgFsjXRwQRPIjtUEipOdwD95JCMS00
posted 45 weeks ago
  20 mork[Power User]
I notice the video link is dead in the background. This is a live version of the video.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WAO-aM2HmZA
posted 41 weeks ago
  21 mork[Power User]
Elbaradei: Israel violated international law in Syria
IAEA chief says that instead of using unilateral force, Jewish state should have provided nuclear watchdog with intelligence on alleged Syrian reactor.
http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3664768,00.html
posted 41 weeks ago
from Mork's link: "Now we are doing our best to try to see what Syria was doing, but it's like Iran. I cannot jump the gun and say Syria was building a nuclear facility because what we are doing now is trying to verify what was there," [ElBaradei] added. So the limbo continues...
posted 41 weeks ago
  23 bernardo
"VIENNA, Feb. 19 (Xinhua) -- IAEA inspectors have found unnatural uranium particles in the sample taken from a bombed establishment in Syria, said a report submitted by Mohamed ElBaradei, director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), to the members of IAEA council on Thursday.
The report said that the IAEA inspectors have found eighty uranium particles in the establishment blown down by Israel at a remote desert in eastern Syria. Syria has to give a proper explanation to the source of these substances.
The report also pointed out that "the possibility is very small that these uranium particles have come from Israel's air attack missiles."
A high-ranking official of the United Nations also said on Thursday in Vienna that "it can be sure that the found uranium particles" are not natural substances, but "are made by human hands."
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2009-02/20/content_10852287.htm
posted 39 weeks ago

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