Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
PoliticsSportEntertainmentWorldBusinessTechnologyScienceGeneral

Will the MESSENGER probe discover evidence of water on Mercury?

Settled as Yes

As MESSENGER flew past the night side of Mercury in January, its Fast Imaging Plasma Spectrometer (FIPS) scooped up ions from an atmosphere so tenuous that it's usually called an "exosphere." FIPS measured the expected amounts of ions like sodium, potassium, and calcium that had previously been detected in Mercury's exosphere, but to the science team's great surprise there was also water present, and in large amounts....

The particles that MESSENGER can find near Mercury got there as a result of the solar wind bombarding Mercury's surface, reacting chemically, and knocking off atoms or molecules, a process called chemical sputtering. In a way, then, when FIPS scoops up particles from Mercury's atmosphere, it is really tasting the chemical composition of Mercury's surface.

http://www.planetary.org/news/2008/0703_MESSENGER_Scientists_Astonished_to.html

Background:

Background: NASA's new probe is being sent to discover the smallest planet. Will it confirm that there is ice in its craters? http://www.reuters.com/article/scienceNews/idUSN1019138920080111

Settlement details:As reported by the New York Times or BBC or Reuters.
Water includes ice and other non-liquid forms of H2O.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
30%
No
70%
Settled as Yes on Sat 7th Feb 4:05pm PST

Suspend date: Wed 11th Jul 2012 11:59pm PST (2 years to go)
Settlement date: Sat 7th Feb 4:05pm PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 75%

Action history:

Created Fri 11th Jan 2008 8:31am PST by tisha[Admin]
Edited Tue 26th Feb 2008 1:14pm PST by lesley[Admin]
Settlement requested Tue 15th Apr 2008 10:45pm PST by otrading: 4 years until suspension
Suspended Sat 7th Feb 3:53pm PST by tisha[Admin]: checking settlement details
Settled as 'Yes' Sat 7th Feb 4:05pm PST by tisha[Admin]: As MESSENGER flew past the night side of Mercury in January, its Fast Imaging Plasma Spectrometer (FIPS) scooped up ions from an atmosphere so tenuous that it's usually called an "exosphere." FIPS measured the expected amounts of ions like sodium, potassium, and calcium that had previously been detected in Mercury's exosphere, but to the science team's great surprise there was also water present, and in large amounts....

The particles that MESSENGER can find near Mercury got there as a result of the solar wind bombarding Mercury's surface, reacting chemically, and knocking off atoms or molecules, a process called chemical sputtering. In a way, then, when FIPS scoops up particles from Mercury's atmosphere, it is really tasting the chemical composition of Mercury's surface.

http://www.planetary.org/news/2008/0703_MESSENGER_Scientists_Astonished_to.html

Suspend date: Wed 11th Jul 2012 11:59pm PST (2 years to go)
Settlement date: Sat 7th Feb 4:05pm PST details

 

Predictions (714)

40 weeks ago
capecodviking[Power User] predicted Yes (H$2 at 30%)
41 weeks ago
nuaetius predicted No (H$50 at 70%)
41 weeks ago
zusiman predicted Yes (H$20 at 30%)
42 weeks ago
oppugner predicted Yes (H$100 at 30%)
43 weeks ago
curios predicted Yes (H$100 at 29%)

Comments (11)

  1 tomg[Admin]
Maybe they'll find life too...
posted 1 year ago
  2 magpiesmn
I bet it even find a hole in the ground...
posted 1 year ago
  3 prodaea
"Water includes ice and other non-liquid forms of H2O."
Does this include evidence of previous water? For example, evidence of erosion caused by a moving body of water that has since evaporated and is no longer on that planet?
posted 1 year ago
  4 measure
According to Wikipedia, Scientists believe there is ice at the surface near the poles of Mercury... in some deep craters.
posted 1 year ago
  5 shrink
measure: that is what I based my prediction upon - it appeared that there was already a fairly definitive answer to that when it comes to the poles. I'll be stymied if the probe doesn't even check out the poles (which I somehow suspect it won't). LOL
posted 1 year ago
The problem is, these probes don't detect water. They detect hydrogen, which we assume to be from water.
posted 1 year ago
i cant believe i bet on smt that is 4 years from now...
posted 1 year ago
  9 jakob
They just found salt on mars via satellite pictures which is regarded as an indication for water.
posted 1 year ago
Mercury! It's far too hot for any water
posted 51 weeks ago
This isn't Mercury, but its interesting:

Plumes spewing from Saturn moon may contain water
http://apnews.myway.com/article/20081126/D94MTK0O1.html
posted 49 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

Stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real news stories! Win more if you're right and climb the leaderboards Learn more...

Name
Email
New password
By joining you are agreeing to our terms of service

Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags


score: 10
Nasa craft reveals 30 per cent of Mercury

AFP This NASA image shows craters on the surface of the planet Mercury. NASAs MESSENGER spacecraft made its second successful fly-by of the year of Mercury revealing like never before 30 per cent of the planet

score: 10
Hubble Again Looks Skyward

that liquid water remained on the Red Planet a billion years later than previously thought. And images of Mercury sent back by NASA's MESSENGER spacecraft revealed that the solar system's smallest planet has seen a surprising amount of volcanic activity

score: 10
Mercury's many volcanoes spewed blue material

images from NASA's Messenger space probe should help settle a decades-old debate about what caused parts of Mercury to be somewhat smoother than it should be. NASA released photos Wednesday, from Messenger's fly-by earlier this month, that gave the

score: 10
NASA Probe Returns Stunning Views Of Mercury

flyby. Researcher Sean Soloman discusses the MESSENGER mission, which aims to be the first man-made object to orbit Mercury

score: 10
Messenger Finds Blue Goo on Mercury

The results are in, and NASA's latest fly-by of Mercury is shedding new light on the solar system's smallest planet. The Messenger space probe zipped around Mercury early in October, examining parts of the planet never before explored. The