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Will the Naked Cowboy win his lawsuit against Mars Candy / M&M's?

Current forecast: Parties settle out of court (39% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Parties settle out of court with a probability of 39% (unchanged in last 1 day)

The Naked Cowboy, who plays his guitar in Times Square, NY, wearing only briefs, a cowboy hat, and boots, is suing Mars Inc., maker of M&M's, for $6 million for trademark infringement and violating of his right of publicity
 
Forecast history, %
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Naked Cowboy wins on at least one claim
24%
Naked Cowboy loses on all claims or case is dismissed
37%
Parties settle out of court
39%
Activity: H$10,992
Question suspends in 16 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (16 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Naked Cowboy wins on at least one claim: 33%, Naked Cowboy loses on all claims or case is dismissed: 33%, Parties settle out of court: 34%

Action history:

Created Fri 15th Feb 10:07am PST by camicalm
Edited Fri 15th Feb 11:34am PST by ryanj[Admin]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (44)

44 predictions

4 weeks ago
silvermchic predicted Parties settle out of court (H$100 at 41%)
5 weeks ago
mrsprfct predicted Parties settle out of court (H$300 at 43%)
9 weeks ago
coolkraft predicted Naked Cowboy wins on at least one claim (H$50 at 28%)
10 weeks ago
newswrangler[Power User] predicted Parties settle out of court (H$200 at 39%)
10 weeks ago
newswrangler[Power User] predicted Parties settle out of court (H$200 at 34%)
more

Comments (5)

  1 skipper[Power User]
I'm thinking this should be voided, no news on it, and it may just drag on forever...
posted 15 weeks ago
If the keywords were spelled correctly, there might be some news ...

Here's a CNN report from last month: <http://www.cnn.com/2008/CRIME/02/14/naked.cowboy/index.html>

Like you, the Naked Cowboy has Super Briefs ;-) and it takes time for all those briefs to be filed, and heard, and work their way through the system.

[I sent a flag to get the keywords corrected].
posted 15 weeks ago
  3 destry[Admin]
This is one of Hubdubs famous long term markets that I avoid like the plague. I say let it run, I am sure news can be found once there is news to report.
posted 15 weeks ago
  4 skipper[Power User]
If there is ever news to report...
/me proudly wears his "hubdub" underwear on the outside...
btw, I wonder if he has filed his legal briefs yet?
posted 15 weeks ago
  5 mrperfkt[Admin]
Finally news on this...

http://www.cnn.com/2008/CRIME/07/01/naked.cowboy/index.html?section=cnn_latest

Last week, U.S. District Court Judge Denny Chin didn't throw the cowboy from his steed. In fact, in a lengthy decision, Judge Chin ruled against the makers of M&Ms, rejecting Mars, Inc.'s attempt to dismiss the Cowboy's lawsuit.

Judge Chin thought it was a question for a jury to decide and wrote that the complaint "plausibly argues that consumers would believe that the M&M Cowboy characters were promoting a product rather than merely parodying The Naked Cowboy, and that viewers would believe that The Naked Cowboy had endorsed M&Ms."
posted 9 weeks ago

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