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My Predictions

Will the November 4th, 2008 Presidential Election be postponed by the Bush administration?

Current forecast: 12% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 12% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Yes
12%
No
88%
Activity: H$85,333
Question suspends in 3 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 11:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 5%

Action history:

Created Tue 29th Jan 3:40pm PST by electroaffinity
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (144)

144 predictions

3 days ago
crowe predicted No (H$200 at 87%)
1 week ago
butterflykisser101 predicted No (H$100 at 87%)
1 week ago
dellschipper predicted No (H$100 at 87%)
1 week ago
rawdeel predicted Yes (H$400 at 11%)
1 week ago
llongtine predicted Yes (H$50 at 9%)
more

Comments (9)

I think people are afraid to make a prediction...Big Brother Cheney may be watching.
posted 35 weeks ago
  2 pics4d
:)...i'm waiting till it gets closer....they had plans to postpone the 2004 election.
posted 34 weeks ago
:)
posted 34 weeks ago
  4 ekatz
I had to wrestle with my conscience to decide whether to dignify this with a prediction. I finally decided to add a vote on the side of sanity.
Why not a question about whether Obama will beat his wife again or whether Hillary will make another speach in favor of bringing back slavery.
The people on the left side of the political spectrum have consistently shown much less tolerance for opposing views.
In short, this insulting question does nothing except to betray the biases and lack of judgement of whoever formulated it.
posted 32 weeks ago
  5 phred
not a chance
posted 32 weeks ago
  6 jbolli
Yeah, the conservatives are paragons of tolerance...
posted 32 weeks ago
  7 pics4d
they had plans at the ready to delay the 2004 election...i think if we have a terrorist attack around that time, they'll try to delay it...i don't trust this administration at all
posted 32 weeks ago
  8 ratel
hey, at least its a good place to park your money
posted 32 weeks ago
  9 gradgrind
This is not to say that those on the left can't be intolerant, but you really think on the old scales of intolerance that the left are the winners? Really? 'cause if you do, I have this bridge in Brooklyn that I need to unload quickly, since I am moving. I'll give you a good price.
posted 32 weeks ago

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