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Will the 'Puppy thrown off cliff by Marine' story be disproved as a hoax?

Settled as No

Background Information can be found here:
http://www.news.com.au/technology/story/0,25642,23317904-5014239,00.html
Youtube Videos of alleged incident:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y1Vw2AZCmio
 
% chance over time
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Settled

Yes
28%
No
72%
Activity: H$10,397
Settled as No on Thu 12th Jun 7:48am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: None

Settlement date: Thu 12th Jun 7:48am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 11th Jun 8:10pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%

Action history:

Created Tue 4th Mar 4:28am PST by ryanj[Admin]
Edited Tue 4th Mar 5:42am PST by ryanj[Admin]
Settlement requested Tue 10th Jun 10:17am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: This seems to have dropped off the news cycle. I can't really find any news after about the 9th of March on this topic. It certainly was never disproven though, so I think we can settle as 'no'.

http://heraldnet.com/article/20080304/NEWS01/733983800&news01ad=1#Puppy-throwing.video.spurs.threats.angry.comments.claim.man.is.from.Monroe
Suspended Thu 12th Jun 1:39am PDT by mork[Power User]: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Thu 12th Jun 1:39am PDT by mork[Power User]: http://www.newsvine.com/_news/2008/06/11/1564886-marine-expelled-another-punished-over-puppy-video (market suspended)
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions

29 predictions

14 weeks ago
notablenotices predicted Yes (H$5 at 44%)
21 weeks ago
steph predicted No (H$50 at 56%)
24 weeks ago
steadmo predicted Yes (H$106 at 43%)
24 weeks ago
tigerlbmurphy predicted Yes (H$20 at 42%)
25 weeks ago
midwatchcowboy predicted No (H$100 at 55%)
more

Comments

The investigation seems to be centered here: http://federalism.typepad.com/crime_federalism/2008/03/david-motari-ab.html
posted 25 weeks ago
  2 Erik
"The video is blurry and it’s difficult to tell whether the puppy is a toy or real, alive or dead." (http://heraldnet.com/article/20080303/NEWS01/367822819)
And you propogate such rumors by setting up a wager here? I'm amazed....You, should be ashamed.
posted 25 weeks ago
Rumors? The Marines are investigating it so are they in the business of "propogating rumors"?

http://abcnews.go.com/Health/story?id=4387128&page=1

http://www.cnn.com/2008/US/03/04/puppy.marine/?iref=mpstoryview

posted 25 weeks ago
  4 smidge76
Someone shot the video...it seemed as though the people in the video were aware it was being shot. It ended up on the internet...I presume by someone close enough to the situation to have obtained the video. Yet, you're accusing the person who wrote the question of "propagating rumors." It seems to me the individuals involved wanted the attention. Don't treat them like they are some kind of victim just because the attention turned out to be negative. Anyone in the military, legally, must be an adult, and therefore should be mature enough to consider the consequences of their actions.
posted 25 weeks ago
  5 smidge76
...his or her actions. Sorry, just committed a grammar pet peeve of mine.
posted 25 weeks ago
Official statement from the Marine Corps. Apparently they likd to propogate rumors too....

http://www.usmc.mil/marinelink/mcn2000.nsf/releaseview/7F00CEF1D09E9EBA852574020061B983?opendocument
posted 25 weeks ago
  8 Erik
"The Marine Corps said Wednesday it was expelling one Marine and disciplining another for their roles in a video showing a Marine throwing a puppy off a cliff while on patrol in Iraq."
Still doesn't say if it was real or a hoax. I agree with the Corps...hoax or not, it was in extremely bad taste: "The actions seen in the Internet video are contrary to the high standards we expect of every Marine and will not be tolerated..."
But again, we still don't know if a marine threw a live puppy of of a cliff.
posted 10 weeks ago

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