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Will the Republican candidate for President win the state of Florida in the general election?

Current forecast: 59% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 59% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

 
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Yes
59%
No
41%
Activity: H$49,898
Question suspends in 12 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Sat 1st Nov 12:59am PDT (12 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Thu 27th Mar 9:12pm PDT by markov
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions

1 week ago
azulyoro23 predicted Yes (H$50 at 59%)
1 week ago
coolkraft predicted No (H$100 at 41%)
1 week ago
pitchedoutsideleg predicted No (H$500 at 39%)
1 week ago
pitchedoutsideleg predicted No (H$500 at 36%)
2 weeks ago
vlad79 predicted No (H$50 at 34%)
more

Comments

  1 owl1
Wow, you're basically asking if the Dems in Fla., and(next question) Mich., are pissed enough to let McCain win!!! A genius question.
posted 19 weeks ago
(link above: delete everything after the last forward slash if link doesn't work correctly)
posted 10 weeks ago
nice question, markov, i'm in!
posted 10 weeks ago
Jeb commands it! his subjects must obey!!!
posted 10 weeks ago

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