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Will the XO laptop cost $100 or less by the end of 2008?

Current forecast: 8% chance 11%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 8% likely to happen (down 11% in last 1 day)


Settlement details: As reported by New York Times or BBC.

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
8%
No
92%
Activity: H$72,007
Question suspends in 4 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 75%

Action history:

Created Mon 14th Jan 3:51pm PST by sathu
Edited Tue 26th Feb 1:50pm PST by lesley[Admin]
Edited Thu 6th Mar 12:50pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (371)

371 predictions

3 weeks ago
mrs_r predicted No (H$100 at 95%)
3 weeks ago
pita_soup predicted No (H$100 at 95%)
3 weeks ago
athex predicted No (H$20 at 95%)
3 weeks ago
filanator predicted No (H$374 at 95%)
3 weeks ago
filanator predicted No (H$25 at 95%)
more

Comments (8)

I suppose it depends on whether or not they can sell tem succesfuly with the buy one, get one package.
posted 44 weeks ago
I can't spell
posted 44 weeks ago
  3 yonemoto
Also depends on the dollar's purchasing power.
posted 44 weeks ago
i think this whole laptop thing is just a bad business publicity scheme. i never used a computer for academic purposes and i dont see the necessity in it. developing countries are much better off studying on the sand with sticks and rocks. or perhaps a blackboard.
why would they pay $100 for a silly laptop? Because I wouldnt even if i had a billion dollars.

furthermore, lots of people live below $1 a day.... surely they can think of better ways to improve education...

dont purchase these laptop! put money into financing computer labs so that everybody has access to a decent computer (in America)
posted 12 weeks ago
*correction. i never used a computer for academic purposes till i was 13/14
posted 12 weeks ago
  7 rogerkni
Here are snippets from one of the stories in the sidebar today:

OLPC partners with Amazon, ITU Sep. 05, 2008

Amazon will sell One Laptop Per Child (OLPC)'s Linux-compatible XO notebook starting in November, says a news story. [Another story says the price will be $200 for single-unit purchases.] The story also says OLPC is partnering with the International Telecommunication Union (ITU) to help distribute the notebooks, and the next-generation XO-2 will ship in 1Q 2010.

The XO-2 will dispense with the the keyboard and touchpad and depend solely on dual 16x9-proportioned, sunlight-readable touchscreens, says OLPC. ... The goal is to deliver the device at a volume price of $75 to large educational buyers. [But not this year.]
............
Over the last year the XO's price rose to twice the initially touted $100, leading governments to back off of plans to make high-volume purchases.
posted 12 weeks ago
I wanted to buy one and it cost us americans 500! Rip off artists!
posted 8 weeks ago

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