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Will the "anglo-american vote" determine the Democratic nominee for president?

Voided

Market voided, unclear settlement details.

Background:

CNN has recently reported that anglo-americans might be the deciding factor in the 2008 Democratic National Party selection of their presidential candidate. Will, according to exit polling, the "white" vote be the determining factor. http://www.cnn.com/video/#/video/politics/2008/02/29/todd.swing.vote.cnn


Settlement details: If, according to exit polls, a majority of self-indentified anglo-american voters support either Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Voided

Yes
20%
No
80%
Voided Sat 20th Sep 3:51pm PDT

Suspend date: Sat 30th Aug 12:59am PDT

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Sat 1st Mar 1:10am PST by gradgrind
Edited Sat 1st Mar 2:11pm PST by ryanj[Admin]
Clarified Sat 1st Mar 2:13pm PST by ryanj[Admin]: Edited market question, so the question was clearer. People might think white guy vote only means males, but anglo-americans includes females to.

Suspended Sat 30th Aug 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Voided Sat 20th Sep 3:51pm PDT by destry[Admin]: Market voided, unclear settlement details.

Suspend date: Sat 30th Aug 12:59am PDT
more info...

 

Predictions (21)

21 predictions

13 weeks ago
opie predicted No (H$50 at 86%)
13 weeks ago
stactimes predicted No (H$50 at 86%)
13 weeks ago
bency predicted No (H$100 at 86%)
13 weeks ago
jhouseholder predicted Yes (H$5 at 14%)
14 weeks ago
kiwifire predicted No (H$140 at 86%)
more

Comments (5)

  1 ryanj[Admin]
Edited market question, so the question was clearer. People might think white guy vote only means males, but anglo-americans includes females to.

Regards,

Ryan
Hubdub U.S. Politics Content Editor
posted 39 weeks ago
  2 gradgrind
Excellent clean-up. Much thanks.
posted 39 weeks ago
I'm not sure how you can get this question wrong, but hey, I'll wager.
posted 38 weeks ago
  4 destry[Admin]
How are we going to settle? Will we know which vote did it for the candidate.
posted 33 weeks ago
  5 dieseldog
this is a uproar waiting to happen. goodluck betters.
posted 27 weeks ago

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