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Will the average price of a gallon of diesel fuel in the US reach $5 per gallon by September 8, 2008?

Settled as No

Settled as NO as the highest price reached was $4.764 on July 14

Background:

With all the talk about the average price of a gallon of gasoline in the US, the average price of diesel is actually higher, reported for the week of March 17 as $3.97 a gallon. With a projection of gasoline hitting a $4 per gallon average during the summer, will diesel hit an average price of $5?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

May also be settled by using figures reported here:

http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/oog/info/gdu/gasdiesel.asp

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
2%
No
98%
Activity: H$77,441
Settled as No on Mon 8th Sep 7:27am PDT

Suspend date: Sun 7th Sep 9:59pm PDT Settlement date: Mon 8th Sep 7:27am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 7th Sep 9:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 33%

Action history:

Created Sun 23rd Mar 5:36pm PDT by mcoen
Edited Thu 10th Apr 1:33pm PDT by diana
Suspended Sun 7th Sep 9:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'No' Mon 8th Sep 7:27am PDT by bayoubear[Admin]: Settled as NO as the highest price reached was $4.764 on July 14

Suspend date: Sun 7th Sep 9:59pm PDT Settlement date: Mon 8th Sep 7:27am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 7th Sep 9:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (123)

123 predictions

12 weeks ago
php_ini predicted Yes (H$1 at 2%)
12 weeks ago
laffertysclass predicted No (H$100 at 98%)
12 weeks ago
queviltai predicted No (H$47 at 98%)
12 weeks ago
opie predicted No (H$100 at 98%)
12 weeks ago
rootehound predicted No (H$500 at 98%)
more

Comments (6)

  1 markov
Another gas price reporting site from AAA:
http://www.fuelgaugereport.com/
posted 36 weeks ago
Before I bet, I'm unclear... if the US Natl. Avg hits $5.00 PRIOR to August, does this settle for a yes? What about spikes over $5.00 prior to August and then stays @ $4.99 for the entire month of August?
posted 24 weeks ago
yes, if we hit 5$ by july 1, then we will settle all three 5$ markets (july4, aug1 and now sept 8) at least that's how i understood it.
posted 24 weeks ago
@ jenniandboys -- the other two markets are for "regular unleaded" grade. This market is for diesel fuel. (two for gasoline, one for fuel.)
posted 24 weeks ago
i have to say it definitely will, here in IL its already been above 5 bucks once.
posted 20 weeks ago
Here in Seattle, it has been at the $4.95 - $5.07 for a couple weeks now! Right this second, up the street at the Shell, it is $4.99 for Diesel!
posted 20 weeks ago

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