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Will the candidate going into the convention with the most PLEDGED delegates win the nomination (Democrat)?

Settled as Yes

The superdelegates can make all the difference... will they?

This is a follow-up question to http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Will_Hillary_Clinton_or_Barack_Obama_have_the_most_PLEDGED_delegates_going_into_the_convention_4180/view


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
97%
No
3%
Activity: H$49,023
Settled as Yes on Thu 28th Aug 1:55pm PDT

Suspend date: Sun 24th Aug 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Thu 28th Aug 1:55pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 24th Aug 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 75%

Action history:

Created Sat 15th Mar 2:48pm PDT by triathematician
Settlement requested Wed 4th Jun 7:43am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: Obama has the PD and is presumptive nominee. Sufficient?
Suspended Sun 24th Aug 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 28th Aug 10:04am PDT by tarpash: http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5j1uLO8x0YEPrS7oobiKpxMAowzgwD92R0I903

Obama had more Pledged delegates going into the convention.
Settlement requested Thu 28th Aug 10:06am PDT by tarpash: Sorry, forgot to include delegate totals:

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/scorecard/
Settled as 'Yes' Thu 28th Aug 1:55pm PDT by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Sun 24th Aug 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Thu 28th Aug 1:55pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 24th Aug 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (71)

71 predictions

14 weeks ago
greengenie predicted Yes (H$50 at 99%)
14 weeks ago
valornhonor[Power User] predicted No (H$13 at 1%)
14 weeks ago
beccae1 predicted Yes (H$100 at 99%)
14 weeks ago
eckertkid predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 99%)
14 weeks ago
azulyoro23 predicted Yes (H$100 at 99%)
more

Comments (1)

Hey all hubdubbers, the admins who control this site want EVERYONE'S input on how to deal with this cheater Satyaki and ALL future gamers ... They are asking for everyone to post their opinions and suggestions for the official rules on this link:
http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/proposed_new_procedure_for_dealing_with_gaming?
This ongoing problem stems from this:
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Why_is_it_that_Satyaki_keeps_creating_Lahore_Badshahs_vs_xyz_team_questions_yet_Donal_doent_void_them_5294/view#newcomment

Here is the LATEST proposal from hubdub admins that they desire our say on:
Admins want a 4 strikes and your out process:
Proposed new procedure for dealing with gaming
Hubdub Representative
To date we have dealt with gaming on a case by case basis. However it has become clear that we need to have a defined process for dealing with individuals that game. Therefore this is our proposed procedure:
1. First identified instance/set of instances: Email warning
2. Second identified instance/set of instances: Email warning, user placed on public watch list (for 2 weeks) and fined 50% of worth
3. Third instance/set of instances: Email warning, user placed on public watch list (for 2 weeks) and fined down to H$1,000
4. Any subsequent instance will result in their ability to create questions removed and potentially suspension of their account.
We propose to apply this procedure for all new instances of gaming however some users are on their first warning and one user is on their second warning.


HOWEVER, several of us users are calling for a MUCH stiffer penalty process and this is our overall latest proposal back to the admins:
We want a 3 strikes you're out process:
1. First identified instance/set of instances: Email warning, user placed on public watch list (for 2 weeks) and fined 50% of worth.
2. Second instance/set of instances: Email warning, user placed on public watch list (for 2 weeks to 30 days) and fined down to H$1,000. AND removal of the gamers' right to create question for a period of time.
3. Any subsequent instance will result in definite, permanent suspension of their account, their IP and all other accounts by the gamer.


Have your say and please add your input at the area the admins have set up for this purpose:
http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/proposed_new_procedure_for_dealing_with_gaming?

lucidstates (This user: Is On Strike)
posted 34 weeks ago

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