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Will the combined low temperatures (celsius) of Bangs (TX) and Intercourse (PA) be below 0 degrees on Tuesday, February 12th?

Settled as Yes


Settlement details: As reported on http://weather.yahoo.com/

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
64%
No
36%
Activity: H$40,589
Settled as Yes on Tue 12th Feb 5:13am PST

Suspend date: Mon 11th Feb 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 12th Feb 5:13am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 11th Feb 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 55%

Action history:

Created Fri 8th Feb 6:39am PST by stopactionsports
Suspended Mon 11th Feb 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Yes' Tue 12th Feb 5:13am PST by tisha[Admin]

Suspend date: Mon 11th Feb 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 12th Feb 5:13am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 11th Feb 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (62)

62 predictions

42 weeks ago
jennybunny predicted No (H$20 at 36%)
42 weeks ago
deek22 predicted No (H$100 at 36%)
42 weeks ago
aba053 predicted No (H$50 at 35%)
42 weeks ago
rgsmith321 predicted No (H$20 at 36%)
42 weeks ago
silvermchic predicted Yes (H$20 at 66%)
more

Comments (5)

  1 swilson
Unless I misunderstand the question, the 2/12 forecasted low for Bangs Tx is 35f and for Intercourse, it's 33f. The combined total is 68f or 35c. How then are the odds set at 55% yes? Flagged...
posted 42 weeks ago
  2 bayoubear[Admin]
You're not doing the math in the correct form and order. The Celsius temp for BAngs would be about 2 degrees C and the one for Intercourse about 1 degree celsius...using your data...therefore the combined temp would be only about 3 degrees celsius...I saw data indicating the Intercourse temp might be several degrees below freezing, so there is a reasonable chance of the prediction going either way.....
posted 42 weeks ago
The real problem is that you can't combine temperatures, period. You can add two numbers up, but they don't have anything to do with temperature anymore unless you divide by two and make an average... which is why you can't convert back and forth from Celsius and Fahrenheit like this. 100F is not "twice as hot" as 50F, just as 30C is not "twice as hot" as 15C. (In thermodynamics, you could make an argument that 300 Kelvin (27C) is "twice as hot" as 150 Kelvin (-123C), but nobody uses Kelvin outside a physics or chemistry calculation.)

A better question would be "Will the average temperature of Bangs and Intercourse be below freezing (0C, 32F) on Feb 12th". It gives the same answer and makes more sense.
posted 42 weeks ago
  4 destry[Admin]
Once you read this question then it is very clear.
posted 42 weeks ago
  5 tarheelv
Shouldn't be flagged. The question is very clear. If Bangs, TX reaches 10 degrees and Intercourse, PA reaches -9, the answer would be 1 degree C (10+(-9)), or No, the combined temperatures did not go below 0. I think this is a fun question.

www.hubdubforum.com
posted 42 weeks ago

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