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Will the democratic nomination be decided by a brokered deal between the two candidates?

Settled as No

No Obama is now the presumptive nominee

Background:

Background: After March 4th the race for the Democratic Party's nomination is as hot as ever. Will the nominee be decided in a backroom deal by the party big wigs at the convention?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
15%
No
85%
Settled as No on Tue 3rd Jun 2008 5:39pm PST

Suspend date: None
Settlement date: Tue 3rd Jun 2008 5:39pm PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Wed 5th Mar 2008 3:29pm PST by duckie
Settled as 'No' Tue 3rd Jun 2008 5:39pm PST by ryanj: No Obama is now the presumptive nominee

Suspend date: None
Settlement date: Tue 3rd Jun 2008 5:39pm PST details

 

Predictions (22)

1 year ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted No (H$1,000 at 84%)
1 year ago
epicur predicted Yes (H$205 at 16%)
1 year ago
jimbo predicted No (H$20 at 84%)
1 year ago
sliq50 predicted No (H$50 at 84%)
1 year ago
rbrog77 predicted No (H$1,500 at 85%)

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