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Will the democratic nomination be decided by a brokered deal between the two candidates?

Settled as No

No Obama is now the presumptive nominee

Background:

After March 4th the race for the Democratic Party's nomination is as hot as ever. Will the nominee be decided in a backroom deal by the party big wigs at the convention?
 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
15%
No
85%
Activity: H$20,384
Settled as No on Tue 3rd Jun 6:39pm PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: None

Settlement date: Tue 3rd Jun 6:39pm PDT

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Wed 5th Mar 3:29pm PST by duckie
Settled as 'No' Tue 3rd Jun 6:39pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: No Obama is now the presumptive nominee
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (22)

22 predictions

13 weeks ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted No (H$1,000 at 84%)
15 weeks ago
epicur predicted Yes (H$205 at 16%)
15 weeks ago
jimbo predicted No (H$20 at 84%)
16 weeks ago
sliq50 predicted No (H$50 at 84%)
17 weeks ago
rbrog77 predicted No (H$1,500 at 85%)
more

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