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Will the Google phone hit the stores this year?

Current forecast: 73% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 73% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

The Observer of London is reporting that Google is working with HTC and mobile/telecom giant Orange to build a Google Mobile Phone, which has the Google Android software inside the device. The device, article speculates, could go on sale in 2008.
 
% chance over time
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Make your prediction!

Yes
73%
No
27%
Activity: H$21,271
Question suspends in 17 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (17 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Thu 7th Feb 4:25am PST by priyadarsan
Edited Mon 25th Feb 4:06pm PST by lesley[Admin]
Edited Thu 6th Mar 12:32pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions

111 predictions

6 days ago
krups predicted Yes (H$20 at 73%)
1 week ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted Yes (H$300 at 73%)
1 week ago
deep predicted Yes (H$100 at 72%)
1 week ago
venturebeat_pw predicted Yes (H$10 at 72%)
1 week ago
siliconalleyinsider_pw predicted Yes (H$10 at 72%)
more

Comments

  1 greggles
This seals the deal for me: http://www.pbs.org/cringely/pulpit/2008/pulpit_20080215_004309.html

Cringley is occasionally wrong with his predictions, but rarely wrong when he gets a lead like this.
posted 27 weeks ago
Why does this question suspend at the end of February, when the question asks "Will the google phone hit the stores this year? ... "The device, article speculates, could go on sale in 2008."

As I see it, this will suspend further predictions, but hold up the settlement until January 1, 2009.
posted 27 weeks ago
  3 greggles
I see two questions here:

A Google branded phone or just a phone based on Android?

To me, a "Google branded phone" would be a phone with the Google name on the box, on the physical phone itself, marketed and sold by Google. In contrast, an Android phone is just any phone that runs the Android operating system: http://code.google.com/android/

So...which kind of phone are we talking about here?

@newswrangler - it appears that this is no longer suspending in February...
posted 11 weeks ago

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