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Will the marriage of President of France Nicolas Sarkozy to Carla Bruni survive for more than 2 years?

Current forecast: 84% chance 3%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 84% likely to happen (up 3% in last 1 day)


Settlement details: As reported by athe website www.topnews.in (http://www.topnews.in/nicolas-sarkozy-begged-ex-wife-return-eight-days-marrying-carla-bruni-219152)

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
84%
No
16%
Activity: H$3,406
Open question (no suspend date)

Suspend date: None

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 90%

Action history:

Created Thu 27th Mar 1:58am PDT by aqeel

Suspend date: None
more info...

 

Predictions (14)

14 predictions

10 weeks ago
raphaelhunold predicted Yes (H$50 at 84%)
18 weeks ago
guingui predicted Yes (H$100 at 84%)
27 weeks ago
lars predicted Yes (H$100 at 83%)
31 weeks ago
middle predicted No (H$20 at 19%)
32 weeks ago
wmandrade predicted No (H$20 at 19%)
more

Comments (2)

  1 satyaki
I don't think so.
posted 35 weeks ago
  2 mork[Power User]
I'm tempted to bet the bank.
posted 33 weeks ago

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