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Will the planned NUT teachers strike on 24th April go ahead

Settled as Yes

The NUT (the UK's largest teaching union) recently voted for a strike of their members in England and Wales in support of a pay dispute. Voting was 75% in favour of striking, but with less than 1/3 of members voting.

High levels of unrest are reported amongst teaching staff with the idea of striking so close to critical exams, which may lead to a rethink. The BBC reports the sad death this morning (5th April) of NUT General Secretary Steve Sinnott, which may add to the determination to go ahead with action.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
91%
No
9%
Activity: H$14,435
Settled as Yes on Thu 24th Apr 4:04am PDT

Suspend date: Wed 23rd Apr 3:59pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 24th Apr 4:04am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 23rd Apr 3:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 85%

Action history:

Created Sat 5th Apr 5:03am PDT by chris[Admin]
Edited Sat 5th Apr 9:42am PDT by chris[Admin]
Edited Sun 6th Apr 5:57am PDT by chris[Admin]
Suspended Wed 23rd Apr 3:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Wed 23rd Apr 10:36pm PDT by orlin: 'Strike disrupts third of schools'

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/education/7363718.stm
Settlement requested Thu 24th Apr 3:45am PDT by orlin: 'Strike disrupting 8,000 schools'

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/education/7363718.stm
Settled as 'Yes' Thu 24th Apr 4:04am PDT by lesley[Admin]

Suspend date: Wed 23rd Apr 3:59pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 24th Apr 4:04am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 23rd Apr 3:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (40)

40 predictions

31 weeks ago
knoch predicted Yes (H$50 at 91%)
31 weeks ago
chap74 predicted Yes (H$100 at 76%)
31 weeks ago
threlf predicted Yes (H$17 at 76%)
31 weeks ago
kismet predicted Yes (H$100 at 75%)
31 weeks ago
kismet predicted Yes (H$210 at 75%)
more

Comments (2)

  1 peterww
Could you clarify the following please?

"Voting was 75% in favour of striking, but with less than 1/3 of members striking."

That makes it sound that if the strike proceeds, it would be a partial one and more than 2/3 of the teachers would stay on the job. Is that right?
posted 34 weeks ago
  2 lesley[Admin]
I'm no expert on this matter, so if anyone knows better, then please correct me. What I think it means is that if the strike proceeds it would be a full strike, i.e. in terms of the number of people who will go on strike, the number of people who actually voted is relevant. If it is agreed that the strike proceeds, all union members will be expected to strike.

The question is, will they agree that this is a sufficient number of votes for the strike to go ahead.

Lesley
Hubdub Category Manager
posted 34 weeks ago

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