Will the price of Oil end the week closer to $110.00 or $120.00 / barrel? (April 21st-25th)
Settled as Closer to $120.00 / barrel
http://www.nymex.com/lsco_fut_cso.aspx
Background:
This question asks, with $115.00 as the mid point, which price will Light Sweet Crude Oil traded on the NYMEX be closer to at the end of trading this week, $110.00 / barrel or $120.00 / barrel? ... Remember, $115.00 is the middle point, so let's say you think Oil will end the week near $109.09 / barrel then you will want to pick "Closer to $110.00 / barrel" however, if you think Oil will close around $117.02 / barrel, then you will want to choose the option "Closer to $120.00 / barrel." Now if Oil closes on Friday at $114.99 / barrel, then the "Closer to $110.00 / barrel" will WIN, if it closes on Friday at $115.01 / barrel, then "Closer to $120.00 / barrel" will WIN, however, if it closes on Friday at $115.00 / barrel then "Closes at Exactly $115.00 / barrel" will WIN. This question suspends early Friday to prevent problems with betting near the close of the trading day and will be settled when the markets CLOSE this Friday the 25th of April.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Will the price of Oil end the week closer to $110.00 or $120.00 / barrel? (April 21st-25th)
Closer to $110.00 / barrel
Closes at Exactly $115.00 / barrel
Closer to $120.00 / barrel
Forecast history, %
Settled
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Closer to $110.00 / barrel |
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Closes at Exactly $115.00 / barrel |
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Closer to $120.00 / barrel |
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Activity: H$82,050
Settled as
Closer to $120.00 / barrel on Fri 25th Apr 1:49pm PDT
Suspend date: Fri 25th Apr 6:05am PDT Settlement date: Fri 25th Apr 1:49pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 25th Apr 6:05am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
Closer to $110.00 / barrel: 49%, Closes at Exactly $115.00 / barrel: 1%, Closer to $120.00 / barrel: 50%
Action history:
Suspended Fri 25th Apr 6:05am PDT : Suspend date reached
Suspend date: Fri 25th Apr 6:05am PDT Settlement date: Fri 25th Apr 1:49pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 25th Apr 6:05am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (124)
124 predictions
31 weeks ago
ph272 predicted
Closer to $120.00 / barrel (H$100 at 54%)
31 weeks ago
triathematician predicted
Closer to $110.00 / barrel (H$100 at 41%)
31 weeks ago
brixtolay predicted
Closer to $120.00 / barrel (H$300 at 54%)
31 weeks ago
hoernla predicted
Closer to $120.00 / barrel (H$20 at 52%)
31 weeks ago
constable1664 predicted
Closer to $120.00 / barrel (H$20 at 59%)
31 weeks ago
ph272 predicted
Closer to $120.00 / barrel (H$100 at 54%)
31 weeks ago
triathematician predicted
Closer to $110.00 / barrel (H$100 at 41%)
31 weeks ago
brixtolay predicted
Closer to $120.00 / barrel (H$300 at 54%)
31 weeks ago
hoernla predicted
Closer to $120.00 / barrel (H$20 at 52%)
31 weeks ago
constable1664 predicted
Closer to $120.00 / barrel (H$20 at 59%)
31 weeks ago
fijis predicted
Closer to $120.00 / barrel (H$100 at 53%)
31 weeks ago
questmaster predicted
Closer to $120.00 / barrel (H$96 at 52%)
31 weeks ago
mvr79 predicted
Closes at Exactly $115.00 / barrel (H$5 at 4%)
31 weeks ago
dono1984 predicted
Closer to $110.00 / barrel (H$960 at 47%)
31 weeks ago
brianholmes predicted
Closer to $120.00 / barrel (H$500 at 58%)
31 weeks ago
bananacinema predicted
Closer to $110.00 / barrel (H$50 at 42%)
31 weeks ago
philm predicted
Closer to $120.00 / barrel (H$300 at 55%)
Showing recent public predictions only
lessComments (7)
lucidstates 
andrew: http://www.nymex.com/lsco_fut_cso.aspx 
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I do not know where it'll end up, haha, but I have $10k saying it ends at or above $115.01, so here's hopin' :-D
lucidstates
I changed my original bet to take a long-shot because I thought the price would end up below 115.00.
Then news reports this morning say:
Ship hired by U.S. military fires warning shots in Gulf
http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSWAT00939920080425?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews&rpc=22&sp=true
If they only could have waited till Monday. . .
lucidstates
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