Will the price of Oil end the week closer to $98.00 or $112.00 / barrel? (April 7th-11th)
110.14
http://www.nymex.com/lsco_fut_cso.aspx
http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/crude-erases-losses-end-almost/story.aspx?guid=%7B425B3EAE%2DFC6B%2D4F44%2D8070%2D12860359C1BB%7D&dist=news
Background:>
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Closer to $98.00 / barrel |
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Closes at Exactly $105.00 / barrel |
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Closer to $112.00 / barrel |
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Suspend date: Fri 11th Apr 6:15am PDT Settlement date: Fri 11th Apr 2:20pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 11th Apr 6:15am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Closer to $98.00 / barrel: 49%, Closes at Exactly $105.00 / barrel: 1%, Closer to $112.00 / barrel: 50%
Action history:
CLOSER TO $112.00 / barrel.
The Link:
http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/crude-erases-losses-end-almost/story.aspx?guid=%7B425B3EAE%2DFC6B%2D4F44%2D8070%2D12860359C1BB%7D&dist=news
Thanks,
lucidstates
http://www.nymex.com/lsco_fut_cso.aspx
http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/crude-erases-losses-end-almost/story.aspx?guid=%7B425B3EAE%2DFC6B%2D4F44%2D8070%2D12860359C1BB%7D&dist=news
Suspend date: Fri 11th Apr 6:15am PDT Settlement date: Fri 11th Apr 2:20pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 11th Apr 6:15am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (61)
61 predictions
Comments (12)
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Last week I asked the question, Did you think Oil would end the week closer to $100.00 / barrel or $110.00 / barrel? ... So this question is essentially the same one, with $105.00 still being the middle point though I expanded the parameters so as to describe, more definitively, the question as a whole, however, a friend of mine (shadowfax) alerted me to the fact that if it ended the week at $105.00 / barrel, then the question would be voided and some nearly H$22,000 would be refunded, and no one likes a refund as it meant that their bet was pointless, so I've added a 3rd option which is "Closes at Exactly $105.00 / barrel" and this one, because of the odds against it happening, has a HUMONGOUS payoff, so if anyone is feeling lucky, you can now go for that one, AND in the event that it actually happens, then someone will make a freakin' bundle :-P
Happy betting,
lucidstates
Please go to these links and post a protest as well and HELP the HubDub Community regain it's integrity!
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Post your decision at:
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lucidstates (dismayed)
http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/proposed_new_procedure_for_dealing_with_gaming?
This ongoing problem stems from this:
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Why_is_it_that_Satyaki_keeps_creating_Lahore_Badshahs_vs_xyz_team_questions_yet_Donal_doent_void_them_5294/view#newcomment
Here is the LATEST proposal from hubdub admins that they desire our say on:
Admins want a 4 strikes and your out process:
Proposed new procedure for dealing with gaming
Hubdub Representative
To date we have dealt with gaming on a case by case basis. However it has become clear that we need to have a defined process for dealing with individuals that game. Therefore this is our proposed procedure:
1. First identified instance/set of instances: Email warning
2. Second identified instance/set of instances: Email warning, user placed on public watch list (for 2 weeks) and fined 50% of worth
3. Third instance/set of instances: Email warning, user placed on public watch list (for 2 weeks) and fined down to H$1,000
4. Any subsequent instance will result in their ability to create questions removed and potentially suspension of their account.
We propose to apply this procedure for all new instances of gaming however some users are on their first warning and one user is on their second warning.
HOWEVER, several of us users are calling for a MUCH stiffer penalty process and this is our overall latest proposal back to the admins:
We want a 3 strikes you're out process:
1. First identified instance/set of instances: Email warning, user placed on public watch list (for 2 weeks) and fined 50% of worth.
2. Second instance/set of instances: Email warning, user placed on public watch list (for 2 weeks to 30 days) and fined down to H$1,000. AND removal of the gamers' right to create question for a period of time.
3. Any subsequent instance will result in definite, permanent suspension of their account, their IP and all other accounts by the gamer.
Have your say and please add your input at the area the admins have set up for this purpose:
http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/proposed_new_procedure_for_dealing_with_gaming?
lucidstates (This user: Is On Strike)
Andrew
Hubdub Category Manager
lucidstates
Too bad we have to wait until the end of the week -- to see how far prices will fall ;-)
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