Created Tue 5th Feb 2:25am PST by rohan

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Will the temperature at New York City, USA fall below 0 degrees Celsius on Friday 8th February 2008?

Settlement details: As reported by Weather underground at this link:
http://www.wunderground.com/US/NY/New_York.html?theprefset=10001199999WS&theprefvalue=KLGA

Please note that no wind chill factors will be taken into account.

The settlement will be based on the above link, and ONLY on weather underground's statistics statistics.

On February 8th 2008 refers to that day only, and not before or upto that date.

The question will be suspended at 21.00 PST on Feb 7th, which is approximately 00.00 hours EST on Feb 8th.

Will the temperature at New York City, USA fall below 0 degrees Celsius on Friday 8th February 2008?

    Yes

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Forecast history, %

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Settled

	Yes	9%
	No	91%

Activity: H$33,346

Settled as No on Fri 8th Feb 2:45am PST

Suspend date: None Settlement date: Fri 8th Feb 2:45am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 8th Feb 2:45am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 55%

Action history:

Created Tue 5th Feb 2:25am PST by rohan

Settled Fri 8th Feb 2:45am PST

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Suspend date: None Settlement date: Fri 8th Feb 2:45am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 8th Feb 2:45am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

Predictions (131)

131 predictions

40 weeks ago

broadersabroad predicted No (H$20 at 74%)

40 weeks ago

hagarthemad predicted Yes (H$50 at 27%)

40 weeks ago

heyy_joe predicted No (H$100 at 73%)

40 weeks ago

feb272001 predicted No (H$100 at 73%)

40 weeks ago

ibachelor predicted Yes (H$20 at 27%)

more

40 weeks ago

broadersabroad predicted No (H$20 at 74%)

40 weeks ago

hagarthemad predicted Yes (H$50 at 27%)

40 weeks ago

heyy_joe predicted No (H$100 at 73%)

40 weeks ago

feb272001 predicted No (H$100 at 73%)

40 weeks ago

ibachelor predicted Yes (H$20 at 27%)

40 weeks ago

maxalex predicted No (H$20 at 73%)

40 weeks ago

shadowfax predicted No (H$1,608 at 67%)

40 weeks ago

scodtt predicted No (H$50 at 64%)

40 weeks ago

fxtrader29 predicted No (H$100 at 64%)

40 weeks ago

deathreapdude predicted No (H$100 at 64%)

40 weeks ago

chobitsfan predicted No (H$100 at 63%)

40 weeks ago

yorelregn predicted Yes (H$20 at 39%)

40 weeks ago

deek22 predicted No (H$100 at 61%)

40 weeks ago

irishsmile predicted No (H$100 at 60%)

Showing recent public predictions only

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Comments (10)

  1 pics4d

does that include windchill? lol

posted 41 weeks ago

  2 rohan

nope :)
see the settlement details

posted 41 weeks ago

  3 guido

Should be an easy one...forecast to go as low as 28F between 4am-6am.... or - 2.2 C. Check hourly forecasts.

http://www.weather.com/outlook/recreation/ski/hourbyhour/USNY0996?begHour=4&begDay=39

Wunderground and weather.com have similar forecasts

Anything recorded below 32F is below 0C.

posted 40 weeks ago

  4 guido

scratch that....28 is with potential wind chill

posted 40 weeks ago

  5 guido

scratch that....28 is with potential wind chill

posted 40 weeks ago

  6 shadowfax

nice one pics4d, does bring back the -50 north dakota debacle...

posted 40 weeks ago

  7 shadowfax

this one will be exciting and close, folks.
glad it is a clean no chill no frills wager. I am betting 1/2 the farm on this one for fun.

posted 40 weeks ago

  8 heyy_joe

You state in settlement rules there will be a suspend date at the end of Feb 7 (2100 PST), but there is no official suspend date. Here it is 3 hours past that time and wagers are still being accepted...................

posted 40 weeks ago

  9 rohan

I know. There is something wrong. Whenever I put a suspend date, it never gets accepted

posted 40 weeks ago

  10 jcsedge

Why was this settled? Still almost eight hours to go on Feb. 8th. Sure, it doesn't look good for those of us who bet yes... but it doesn't seem right to not let it run to the end of the day before settling.

posted 40 weeks ago

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