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Will the vaccine for drug addiction be in mainstream use within a year?

Current forecast: 35% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 35% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

In a search for what could be the ultimate cure for drug addiction, scientists have developed a vaccine which prevents the body from getting high.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
35%
No
65%
Activity: H$6,533
Question suspends in 8 weeks

Suspend date: Fri 30th Jan 2009 11:59pm PST (8 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Wed 30th Jan 8:09am PST by doug
Edited Thu 6th Mar 12:55pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]

Suspend date: Fri 30th Jan 2009 11:59pm PST (8 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (45)

45 predictions

3 weeks ago
cookietime predicted No (H$200 at 58%)
3 weeks ago
bernardo predicted No (H$100 at 57%)
3 weeks ago
silvermchic predicted No (H$100 at 57%)
3 weeks ago
nuaetius predicted No (H$100 at 56%)
4 weeks ago
crackbaby predicted No (H$1 at 56%)
more

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