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Will there be a change to second preference voting before the next general election in Britain?

Background: There's been talk that Labour might consider voting reform before the next general election, and that it might include second preference voting to give MPs more reliable mandates. Do we think this will happen?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
3%
No
97%
Open question (no suspend date)

Suspend date: None

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 15%

Action history:

Created Thu 17th Apr 2008 5:41am PST by lloydshep

Suspend date: None details

 

Predictions (45)

18 weeks ago
buster_l predicted Yes (H$100 at 4%)
18 weeks ago
jamest predicted No (H$1,500 at 97%)
22 weeks ago
jamest predicted No (H$10,000 at 96%)
23 weeks ago
pabloc predicted No (H$977 at 80%)
23 weeks ago
pabloc predicted No (H$922 at 79%)

Comments (3)

  1 kruijs[Power User]
no, we don't think so.
posted 1 year ago
  2 rogerkni
The story, "Labour Faces the Abyss," in today's sidebar, and at http://c.moreover.com/click/here.pl?r1609466775&f=9946
might concentrate a few minds in that party's leadership and make them seriously consider the partisan advantages of a second-preference (aka "instant runoff") voting system.
posted 1 year ago
  3 jamest
It has been suggested today that Gordon Brown is considering it, but only opening a debate (ie after the election).
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/europe/8092396.stm
posted 23 weeks ago

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