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Will there be a confirmed death of a person caused by bird flu in the USA or Canada before August 31st 2008?

Settled as No

No news of such an event occurring by suspend date

Background:

Will the death of a person be positively attributed to the H5N1 strain of bird flu in a person residing in the USA or Canada. The person must die in the USA or Canada (regardless of where they contacted the disease).


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
4%
No
96%
Activity: H$219,331
Settled as No on Mon 1st Sep 1:19am PDT

Suspend date: Mon 1st Sep 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 1st Sep 1:19am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 1st Sep 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 65%

Action history:

Created Thu 1st May 12:14pm PDT by paulcroft
Suspended Mon 1st Sep 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'No' Mon 1st Sep 1:19am PDT by tisha[Admin]: No news of such an event occurring by suspend date

Suspend date: Mon 1st Sep 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 1st Sep 1:19am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 1st Sep 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (338)

338 predictions

13 weeks ago
greg77 predicted No (H$400 at 96%)
13 weeks ago
greg77 predicted No (H$175 at 96%)
13 weeks ago
kiwifire predicted No (H$140 at 96%)
13 weeks ago
eckertkid predicted No (H$100 at 94%)
13 weeks ago
gotmick predicted No (H$2,410 at 94%)
more

Comments (1)

LOL - great photo!
posted 18 weeks ago

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