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Created Tue 29th Jan 7:12am PST by randyc1152
All questions » General » Weather » 

Will there be a named Hurricane in the "Gulf of Mexico" during June?

Settled as No

No named Hurricane occurred during June


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 Yes
2%
No
98%
Activity: H$98,652
Settled as No on Tue 1st Jul 9:11am PDT

Suspend date: Tue 1st Jul 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 1st Jul 9:11am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 1st Jul 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Tue 29th Jan 7:12am PST by randyc1152
Suspended Sun 1st Jun 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Unsuspended Tue 3rd Jun 9:45am PDT by robuk[Admin]: The suspend date was for end of May so I've moved it to end of June.
Suspended Mon 30th Jun 2:07pm PDT by destry[Admin]: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Mon 30th Jun 2:07pm PDT by destry[Admin]: Can be settled based on the 99.9% rule. No storms of any size in Gulf of Mexico at all. (market suspended)
Settlement requested Tue 1st Jul 1:36am PDT by orlin: No named hurricane by the end of June.
Settled as 'No' Tue 1st Jul 9:11am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: No named Hurricane occurred during June

Suspend date: Tue 1st Jul 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 1st Jul 9:11am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 1st Jul 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (119)

119 predictions

22 weeks ago
dragon01 predicted No (H$500 at 96%)
22 weeks ago
dragon01 predicted No (H$3,000 at 96%)
22 weeks ago
swilson predicted No (H$5,000 at 93%)
22 weeks ago
swilson predicted No (H$10,000 at 94%)
23 weeks ago
corry20 predicted No (H$10 at 90%)
more

Comments (6)

  1 bayoubear[Admin]
Just wanna be clear on this...it has to be a named storm in the Gulf to be valid...as a Gulf Coast resident I say NO to June!! God only knows what August and September will bring!
posted 26 weeks ago
  2 theonecalledmichael
a named hurricane....
posted 26 weeks ago
  3 mrperfkt[Admin]
As a Florida resident, I (unfortunately) am predicting yes (especially at 18% odds hehe). The first tropical storm, Alma, formed a few days ago in the Pacific near Nicaragua and was actually headed on a path towards the Gulf.
Looks like it's breaking up over land and will soon be a low pressure area. However, with an early start and busy season predicted...who knows!

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPEP1+shtml/301127.shtml

Good luck, bayoubear. Hope neither of us have any bad storms this year!
Hmmmm...that raises an interesting question...how will hubdubbers handle the loss of an internet connection in the event of a hurricane?

posted 26 weeks ago
  4 infernalmachine[Admin]
This question, along with several others, has been kind of ruined by the loss of all characters after the new limit. What is it asking?
posted 25 weeks ago
  5 robuk[Admin]
Seems to have been created by a user that is not active (hasn't been active for 18weeks). I'll try and see if we can rescue the meaning then I'll edit if I can. If I can't rescue the meaning I'll have to void it I'm afraid.
posted 25 weeks ago
  6 destry[Admin]
This question read will there be a named Hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico for the month of June.
posted 25 weeks ago

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