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Will there be a nuclear disaster in the UK by end 2010?

Background: A country's got to get its energy from somewhere and nuclear has its advantages. But at what cost?

Settlement details:The BBC or Guardian or Times has to announce that a 'nuclear disaster' or similar has occured on UK soil, causing at least one direct death.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
4%
No
96%
Question suspends in 1 year

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 4%

Action history:

Created Thu 10th Jan 2008 5:01pm PST by tomg[Admin]
Edited Mon 10th Mar 2008 3:40am PST by tisha[Admin]

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 11:59pm PST (1 year to go) details

 

Predictions (24)

17 weeks ago
gamer99 predicted No (H$100 at 91%)
19 weeks ago
acharles predicted No (H$20 at 91%)
29 weeks ago
garnock predicted No (H$453 at 96%)
35 weeks ago
elloyd predicted Yes (H$20 at 4%)
38 weeks ago
bernardo predicted Yes (H$20 at 4%)

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