Created Wed 30th Jan 12:54am PST by 
mtt9701
All questions » World » Europe » mtt9701 
Will there be a revolution in Georgia before the end of 2008?
Current forecast: 7% chance 
13%
13%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 7% likely to happen (down 13% in last 1 day)
In 2003 Georgia had a "Rose Revolution" where current President Mikhail Saakashvili came to power in a bloodless coup. This past fall there were major political uprisings against Mr. Saakashvili centered around claims of corruption which led him to censor the media temporarily and call early elections where he was re-elected by a large majority.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
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Activity: H$16,703
Question suspends in 6 weeks
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (6 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%
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Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (6 weeks to go)
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Get widget!Predictions (21)
21 predictions
chull
infernalmachine
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score: 10
Radio Free Europe 5 days ago
served to focus international attention on the extent to which the initial wave of democratization that followed the Rose Revolution four years earlier had been rolled back. Twelve months later, after two controversial preterm elections and the
score: 10
Radio Free Europe 1 week ago
served to focus international attention on the extent to which the initial wave of democratization that followed the Rose Revolution four years earlier had been rolled back. Twelve months later, after two controversial preterm elections and the
score: 10
Radio Free Europe 1 week ago
served to focus international attention on the extent to which the initial wave of democratization that followed the Rose Revolution four years earlier had been rolled back. Twelve months later, after two controversial preterm elections and the
score: 10
Boston Globe 1 week ago
TBILISI, Georgia - Thousands of antigovernment demonstrators poured into the streets of Georgia's capital, Tbilisi, yesterday, hoping to weaken the government of President Mikheil Saakashvili as it strives to maintain power
score: 10
Telegraph 1 week ago
opponents of President Mikhail Saakashvili at a rally in Tbilisi Photo: AFP/ The rally marked the first anniversary of a police crackdown on opposition demonstrators, when police fired rubber bullets, tear gas and water to
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