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Will there be an assassination attempt on any Presidential candidate before October 31, 2008?

Settled as Yes

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/08/08/new-details-man-held-for-alleged-obama-assassination-threat/

Background:

Will anyone attempt to assassinate the Presidential candidates?

Note: This is taken to mean the candidates from the two main parties. The GOP and the Democrats.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
16%
No
84%
Activity: H$18,607
Settled as Yes on Wed 13th Aug 11:18pm PDT

Suspend date: Sat 25th Oct 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Wed 13th Aug 11:18pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 8th Aug 3:20am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Sat 26th Apr 2:07pm PDT by ryanb37
Clarified Sat 26th Apr 3:04pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: Market editing done to clean the question up (grammar wise) and make settlement easier.
Settlement requested Wed 13th Aug 11:14pm PDT by newswrangler[Power User]: If this question was settled as "yes"
<http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Will_there_be_an_attempt_to_assassinate_Barack_Obama_before_20_January_2009_2194/view>

is there any reason this question shouldn't be likewise settled? (market suspended)
Suspended Wed 13th Aug 11:14pm PDT by newswrangler[Power User]: Suspended pending settlement

Suspend date: Sat 25th Oct 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Wed 13th Aug 11:18pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 8th Aug 3:20am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (30)

30 predictions

15 weeks ago
cognos[Power User] predicted Yes (H$2,000 at 22%)
15 weeks ago
cognos[Power User] predicted Yes (H$500 at 17%)
19 weeks ago
cplotter predicted Yes (H$609 at 15%)
24 weeks ago
jamalpeter predicted No (H$20 at 87%)
25 weeks ago
gilliganp predicted Yes (H$20 at 13%)
more

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