Will there be an assassination attempt on any Presidential candidate before October 31, 2008?

All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Sat 25th Oct 12:59am PDT (1 week to go)

Settlement date: Wed 13th Aug 11:18pm PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 8th Aug 3:20am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Sat 26th Apr 2:07pm PDT by ryanb37

Clarified Sat 26th Apr 3:04pm PDT by ryanj: show details

Market editing done to clean the question up (grammar wise) and make settlement easier.

Settlement requested Wed 13th Aug 11:14pm PDT by newswrangler: show details

If this question was settled as "yes"
<http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Will_there_be_an_attempt_to_assassinate_Barack_Obama_before_20_January_2009_2194/view>

is there any reason this question shouldn't be likewise settled? (market suspended)

Suspended Wed 13th Aug 11:14pm PDT by newswrangler: Suspended pending settlement

Settled as 'Yes' Wed 13th Aug 11:18pm PDT by destry: show details

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/08/08/new-details-man-held-for-alleged-obama-assassination-threat/

All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all