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Will there be congressional hearings on crane safety by the end of April?

Settled as No

 
% chance over time
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
2%
No
98%
Activity: H$56,669
Settled as No on Sat 3rd May 5:21am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Thu 1st May 12:59am PDT

Settlement date: Sat 3rd May 5:21am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 1st May 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 85%

Action history:

Created Tue 25th Mar 12:10pm PDT by jjmurray
Edited Wed 26th Mar 3:46am PDT by lesley[Admin]
Edited Thu 27th Mar 7:15am PDT by ryanj[Admin]
Suspended Thu 1st May 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 2nd May 1:26pm PDT by randburg: April "and it's end" are both past: can this be settled please?
Settled as 'No' Sat 3rd May 5:21am PDT by ryanj[Admin]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions

15 weeks ago
tbyrd predicted No (H$2,403 at 98%)
15 weeks ago
wyrm predicted No (H$1,000 at 97%)
15 weeks ago
kokojumbo predicted No (H$500 at 97%)
15 weeks ago
mustytowel predicted No (H$100 at 97%)
16 weeks ago
chanesaw predicted No (H$10,000 at 94%)
more

Comments

Did you mean 'crane safety'?
posted 21 weeks ago
...or 'reface nasty' or 'carney feast' or 'fancy teaser' or 'a cafes entry' or 'cease ant fry' or 'fact near yes' or something else....which is it?
posted 21 weeks ago
  3 kruijs[Power User]
Google allmighty says:

Did you mean: crane safety?
posted 21 weeks ago
  4 shadowfax
great question orlin. clever, timely, well placed "finger on the pulse" of current events.
you keep putting up informative provocative forecasts.
I appreciate the compelling markets you create.
posted 21 weeks ago
  5 lesley[Admin]
I've edited the wording and added a background story for those not familiar with it.

The initial likelihoods seem a bit too high, but as there's still 5 weeks to run, I don't think it should be voided as opportunity to game it is limited.

Lesley
Hubdub Category Manager
posted 21 weeks ago
  6 markov
If it fell on a member of congress there would be a hearing by day's end and the world would be a better place.
posted 15 weeks ago

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