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Will there be murder victims found at Charles Manson's Barker Ranch ?

Background: just-completed follow-up tests suggest bodies could indeed be lying beneath the parched ground.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Limited to any discoveries stated to be found at "Barker Ranch"

 
Forecast history %
Yes
11%
No
89%
Settled as No on Fri 23rd May 2008 10:39am PST

Suspend date: Tue 1st Jul 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 23rd May 2008 10:39am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 23rd May 2008 3:10am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%

Action history:

Created Sat 15th Mar 2008 7:36pm PST by meanderingsearcher
Suspended Thu 22nd May 2008 12:14pm PST by newswrangler[Power User]: see settlement request
Settlement requested Thu 22nd May 2008 12:14pm PST by newswrangler[Power User]: Winning prediction is "No".
I'll try to find a time so late predictions can be voided.

<http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-manson22-2008may22,0,5249712.story>
(market suspended)
Settlement requested Thu 22nd May 2008 12:22pm PST by newswrangler[Power User]: Here's the earliest news source I could find (from yesterday):

May 21, 2008 09:33 PM PDT

"By Nathan Baca, News Channel 3

The search for more victims at Charles Manson's former desert hideout is over. "

<http://www.kesq.com/Global/story.asp?S=8352879&nav=menu191_13_8>
Settlement requested Thu 22nd May 2008 7:03pm PST by jake: Settle as no.

http://www.news.com.au/story/0,23599,23744952-401,00.html
Settled as 'No' Fri 23rd May 2008 10:39am PST by diana: http://www.news.com.au/story/0,23599,23744952-401,00.html

Suspend date: Tue 1st Jul 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 23rd May 2008 10:39am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 23rd May 2008 3:10am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (88)

1 year ago
bout3fitty predicted No (H$589 at 89%)
1 year ago
pdxstaci predicted No (H$20 at 88%)
1 year ago
toejam predicted No (H$100 at 84%)
1 year ago
frank2877 predicted No (H$100 at 58%)
1 year ago
maxvon233 predicted Yes (H$50 at 42%)

Comments (3)

  1 frank2877
They just called off the search with no bodies found. If they announce no plans to resume I'd say settled as "No".
posted 1 year ago
The search was called off yesterday, May 21st.
<http://www.kesq.com/Global/story.asp?S=8352879&nav=menu191_13_8>
posted 1 year ago
  3 diana
To respond to a message that this market was closed prematurely, the HubDub rules state that:

"The Suspend date and time should not be used as a guide as to when the question will be settled. E.g. If the question is 'Who will Edwards endorse?' and the suspend date is February 5th then the question should not be interpreted as 'Who will Edwards endorse by February 5th?'"

If the dig opens up again, there should definitely be a new market.
posted 1 year ago

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