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Will there be murder victims found at Charles Manson's Barker Ranch ?

Settled as No

http://www.news.com.au/story/0,23599,23744952-401,00.html

Background:

just-completed follow-up tests suggest bodies could indeed be lying beneath the parched ground.
 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
11%
No
89%
Activity: H$46,167
Settled as No on Fri 23rd May 11:39am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Limited to any discoveries stated to be found at "Barker Ranch"

Suspend date: Wed 2nd Jul 12:59am PDT

Settlement date: Fri 23rd May 11:39am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 23rd May 4:10am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%

Action history:

Created Sat 15th Mar 8:36pm PDT by meanderingsearcher
Suspended Thu 22nd May 1:14pm PDT by newswrangler[Power User]: see settlement request
Settlement requested Thu 22nd May 1:14pm PDT by newswrangler[Power User]: Winning prediction is "No".
I'll try to find a time so late predictions can be voided.

<http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-manson22-2008may22,0,5249712.story>
(market suspended)
Settlement requested Thu 22nd May 1:22pm PDT by newswrangler[Power User]: Here's the earliest news source I could find (from yesterday):

May 21, 2008 09:33 PM PDT

"By Nathan Baca, News Channel 3

The search for more victims at Charles Manson's former desert hideout is over. "

<http://www.kesq.com/Global/story.asp?S=8352879&nav=menu191_13_8>
Settlement requested Thu 22nd May 8:03pm PDT by jake: Settle as no.

http://www.news.com.au/story/0,23599,23744952-401,00.html
Settled as 'No' Fri 23rd May 11:39am PDT by diana: http://www.news.com.au/story/0,23599,23744952-401,00.html
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. ... read all

 

Predictions (88)

88 predictions

15 weeks ago
bout3fitty predicted No (H$589 at 89%)
15 weeks ago
pdxstaci predicted No (H$20 at 88%)
15 weeks ago
toejam predicted No (H$100 at 84%)
15 weeks ago
frank2877 predicted No (H$100 at 58%)
15 weeks ago
maxvon233 predicted Yes (H$50 at 42%)
more

Comments (3)

  1 frank2877
They just called off the search with no bodies found. If they announce no plans to resume I'd say settled as "No".
posted 15 weeks ago
The search was called off yesterday, May 21st.
<http://www.kesq.com/Global/story.asp?S=8352879&nav=menu191_13_8>
posted 15 weeks ago
  3 diana
To respond to a message that this market was closed prematurely, the HubDub rules state that:

"The Suspend date and time should not be used as a guide as to when the question will be settled. E.g. If the question is 'Who will Edwards endorse?' and the suspend date is February 5th then the question should not be interpreted as 'Who will Edwards endorse by February 5th?'"

If the dig opens up again, there should definitely be a new market.
posted 14 weeks ago

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