Will there be protests in Beijing during the Olympics that result in at least 5 fatalities?
Settled as No
No such protests reported
Background:>
Will disgruntled citizens seek to use the background of the Olympic Games to draw attention to their grievances and will the government reaction be harsh?
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Will there be protests in Beijing during the Olympics that result in at least 5 fatalities?
Zoom out
Forecast history, %
Settled
Activity: H$78,530
Settled as
No on Sun 24th Aug 2pm PDT
Suspend date: Fri 22nd Aug 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 24th Aug 2pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 22nd Aug 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
Yes: 20%
Action history:
Edited Thu 6th Mar 12:40pm PST by
lesley
Suspended Thu 7th Aug 1pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Unsuspended Mon 11th Aug 2:14am PDT by
nigeleccles![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)
:
Question will suspend 3 full days prior to close of the games
Suspended Fri 22nd Aug 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 24th Aug 8:01am PDT by
orlin:
No
Settlement requested Sun 24th Aug 8:03am PDT by
orlin:
No
Settled as 'No' Sun 24th Aug 2pm PDT by
infernalmachine![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)
:
No such protests reported
Suspend date: Fri 22nd Aug 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 24th Aug 2pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 22nd Aug 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (110)
110 predictions
14 weeks ago
eckertkid predicted
No (H$5,000 at 97%)
14 weeks ago
cognos![This user is a super user [Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif)
predicted
Yes (H$100 at 3%)
15 weeks ago
billcode predicted
No (H$100 at 97%)
15 weeks ago
bedlam predicted
Yes (H$50 at 3%)
more14 weeks ago
eckertkid predicted
No (H$5,000 at 97%)
14 weeks ago
cognos![This user is a super user [Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif)
predicted
Yes (H$100 at 3%)
15 weeks ago
billcode predicted
No (H$100 at 97%)
15 weeks ago
bedlam predicted
Yes (H$50 at 3%)
15 weeks ago
dmn322 predicted
Yes (H$50 at 11%)
15 weeks ago
morgie predicted
Yes (H$20 at 9%)
16 weeks ago
decyple predicted
No (H$100 at 91%)
16 weeks ago
tonya predicted
No (H$100 at 90%)
16 weeks ago
curios predicted
Yes (H$50 at 9%)
16 weeks ago
tine predicted
No (H$100 at 92%)
Showing recent public predictions only
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Comments (6)
Perhaps the question should be "reported protests" that are allowed to be made public, or are under the eyes of foreign journalists... etc...
well, I am leaving my yes answer, just because i think there will be some, even if not reported...God knows..
No protests with death as result? Doubt it.
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