Will there be reports of widespread vote rigging in the Zimbabwean election?
Settled as Yes
The electoral commission changed the rules to let police into the polling stations and votes will be counted centrally rather than at the station. Rigging seems inevitable surely?
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Will there be reports of widespread vote rigging in the Zimbabwean election?
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Forecast history, %
Settled
Activity: H$24,903
Settled as
Yes on Sun 30th Mar 2:30pm PDT
Suspend date: Sun 30th Mar 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 30th Mar 2:30pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 30th Mar 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
Yes: 85%
Action history:
Created Fri 28th Mar 2:47pm PDT by
lesley
Settlement requested Sat 29th Mar 9:06am PDT by
randburg:
But less than an hour after voting began at 7 a.m. (1 a.m. ET), both opposition factions said that in at least 19 polling stations, the Zimbabwe Electoral Commission claimed to have "lost" the accreditation for the opposition's polling agent, so it refused to let the agent in.
Eddie Matsangaise of the Zimbabwe Exile Forum said he had heard reports that the names of long-dead white colonialist leaders were on voter lists, but voters who thought they were registered were turned away.
"Obviously they're not free and fair," Matsangaise said of the elections.
Suspended Sun 30th Mar 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 30th Mar 10:19am PDT by
dan_the_omniscient:
well, the opposition party alleges "widespread irregularities", but they also claim to be confident of victory. if they DO win, how widespread could the rigging have been?
perhaps a wait-and-see approach to settling this one is warranted?
Settled as 'Yes' Sun 30th Mar 2:30pm PDT by
lesley
Suspend date: Sun 30th Mar 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 30th Mar 2:30pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 30th Mar 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (48)
48 predictions
35 weeks ago
gaurav predicted
No (H$1,000 at 19%)
35 weeks ago
gaurav predicted
No (H$1,000 at 10%)
35 weeks ago
gaurav predicted
No (H$6,500 at 24%)
35 weeks ago
eckertkid predicted
Yes (H$41 at 95%)
more35 weeks ago
gaurav predicted
No (H$1,000 at 19%)
35 weeks ago
gaurav predicted
No (H$1,000 at 10%)
35 weeks ago
gaurav predicted
No (H$6,500 at 24%)
35 weeks ago
eckertkid predicted
Yes (H$41 at 95%)
35 weeks ago
msanderson predicted
Yes (H$2,018 at 94%)
35 weeks ago
kruijs![This user is a super user [Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif)
predicted
Yes (H$50 at 94%)
35 weeks ago
bearguy predicted
No (H$20 at 6%)
35 weeks ago
orlin predicted
Yes (H$10,000 at 89%)
35 weeks ago
solve4x predicted
No (H$100 at 15%)
35 weeks ago
deek22 predicted
No (H$100 at 20%)
35 weeks ago
seezha predicted
Yes (H$150 at 80%)
35 weeks ago
tomg![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)
predicted
Yes (H$100 at 80%)
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Comments (16)
I have seen this -- FIRSTHAND -- several times.
This is largely the legacy of American diplomat Andrew Young and his British counterpart Owens, who engaged in shuttle diplomacy to "free" Rhodesia and "enable" the democratic dictatorship of Robert Mugabe. Robert Mugabe is Africa's longest ruling leader, from the very inception of Zimbabwe.
Lesley
Hubdub Category Manager
The question does not ask which side will win or whether it will be a free and fair election (which it won't be). If there was no widespread evidence of vote rigging, it would not necessarily be an unfair election IF Mugabe actually won legally.
jersjusttrolling and randburg have both submitted official newsreports from major news sources of "widespread reports of vote rigging". The outcome of THIS PREDICTION has already been reached and should be settled as YES.
perhaps a wait-and-see approach to settling this one is warranted?
Again, if we read the question: the question does NOT ask who will win: it asks "Will there be reports of widespread vote rigging in the Zimbabwean election?" And the answer is YES: there are already several existing reports from major reliable news sources. You can find them under "settlement details" above.
re: the question is 'will there be reports'.
the answer is "yes", there have been reports.
why all the second-guessing.
pls settle now!, or escalate to getsatifaction. If admin doesn't, I will.
I'm not casting stones at any individual admins, or users, just pointing out an area for improvement. I think the entire Hubdub community, users and admins, could do a much better job of creating well structured questions. I find myself flagging many questions in which I would invest, if they were properly constructed.
Lesley.
Biti and his party have said their agents and supporters were barred from polling stations in several districts, ballot boxes were stuffed, and election rolls were inflated with dead or fictitious people."
This is a direct quote from AP, Associated Press.
As jersjusttrolling said:
"let's not get fistinctive on this one.
re: the question is 'will there be reports'.
the answer is "yes", there have been reports".
Regardless of who wins the election, the reports STAND.
"The Zimbabwean government has denied CNN and other international news organizations permission to enter the country to report on the elections."
does this count as "reports"? more like reports *of* reports. "side A said 'side B sucks,' and side B said 'no, side A sucks!" exactly the same source of the widely discredited katrina reporting. considering the sources, i couldnt make myself go all the way thru the two articles cited in the settlement requests again, but did anyone reporting for these agencies actually SEE anything for themselves? or is it just the reporting of party rhetoric?
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/By_March_20th_how_high_will_the_reported_death_toll_in_Tibet_be_4404
not that im suggesting a void, but of the necessity of "independent" reports in settling markets.
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