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Will this Question Correctly Predict Whether the HD Community Will Successfully Predict the Outcome of this Event?

Settled as No

The question http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Will_the_Hubdub_Community_Correctly_Predict_the_Outcome_of_This_Event_4864/View
predicted the Hubdub community WOULD get this question http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Formula_1_Who_will_win_the_Bahrain_GP_in_Sakhir_Manama_0642008_2744/view right. They didn't, so it was wrong. Therefore the settlement of THIS question is No.

Background:

You predicting whether this Hubdub question:
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Will_the_Hubdub_Community_Correctly_Predict_the_Outcome_of_This_Event_4864/view

Will accurately determine the outcome of this event:
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Formula_1_Who_will_win_the_Bahrain_GP_in_Sakhir_Manama_0642008_2744/view

The community, and those in the community investing in the community's predictions are 2 for 2, but make sure you check the settlement details for all of the questions prior to investing. And remember past performance is no guarantee of future performance ...


Settlement details: As reported by Hubdub, ultimately tied back to a settlement based on a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
61%
No
39%
Activity: H$670
Settled as No on Mon 7th Apr 1:35am PDT

Suspend date: Sun 6th Apr 6:30am PDT Settlement date: Mon 7th Apr 1:35am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 6th Apr 6:30am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%

Action history:

Created Tue 25th Mar 4:19pm PDT by anaverageamerican
Edited Wed 2nd Apr 4:13am PDT by tomg[Admin]
Clarified Wed 2nd Apr 4:14am PDT by tomg[Admin]: Question editied to have settlement as 6th April, 5:30am PST, as requested by author
Suspended Sun 6th Apr 6:30am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 6th Apr 3:17pm PDT by newswrangler[Power User]:
The winning prediction for this market is "No".

This market predicted 61% Yes that this market <http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Will_the_Hubdub_Community_Correctly_Predict_the_Outcome_of_This_Event_4864/view>
would settle as "Yes" (with 57% Yes).

That "Yes" prediction was incorrect.
Settled as 'No' Mon 7th Apr 1:35am PDT by tomg[Admin]: The question http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Will_the_Hubdub_Community_Correctly_Predict_the_Outcome_of_This_Event_4864/View
predicted the Hubdub community WOULD get this question http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Formula_1_Who_will_win_the_Bahrain_GP_in_Sakhir_Manama_0642008_2744/view right. They didn't, so it was wrong. Therefore the settlement of THIS question is No.

Suspend date: Sun 6th Apr 6:30am PDT Settlement date: Mon 7th Apr 1:35am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 6th Apr 6:30am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (7)

7 predictions

35 weeks ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted Yes (H$20 at 61%)

Comments (1)

  1 tomg[Admin]
Question editied to have settlement as 6th April, 5:30am PST, as requested by author
posted 34 weeks ago

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