Will this Question Correctly Predict Whether the HD Community Will Successfully Predict the Outcome of this Event?
The question http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Will_the_Hubdub_Community_Correctly_Predict_the_Outcome_of_This_Event_4864/View
predicted the Hubdub community WOULD get this question http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Formula_1_Who_will_win_the_Bahrain_GP_in_Sakhir_Manama_0642008_2744/view right. They didn't, so it was wrong. Therefore the settlement of THIS question is No.
Background:>
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Will_the_Hubdub_Community_Correctly_Predict_the_Outcome_of_This_Event_4864/view
Will accurately determine the outcome of this event:
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Formula_1_Who_will_win_the_Bahrain_GP_in_Sakhir_Manama_0642008_2744/view
The community, and those in the community investing in the community's predictions are 2 for 2, but make sure you check the settlement details for all of the questions prior to investing. And remember past performance is no guarantee of future performance ...
Settlement details:
As reported by Hubdub, ultimately tied back to a settlement based on a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Yes |
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No |
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Suspend date: Sun 6th Apr 6:30am PDT Settlement date: Mon 7th Apr 1:35am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 6th Apr 6:30am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%
Action history:
The winning prediction for this market is "No".
This market predicted 61% Yes that this market <http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Will_the_Hubdub_Community_Correctly_Predict_the_Outcome_of_This_Event_4864/view>
would settle as "Yes" (with 57% Yes).
That "Yes" prediction was incorrect.
predicted the Hubdub community WOULD get this question http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Formula_1_Who_will_win_the_Bahrain_GP_in_Sakhir_Manama_0642008_2744/view right. They didn't, so it was wrong. Therefore the settlement of THIS question is No.
Suspend date: Sun 6th Apr 6:30am PDT Settlement date: Mon 7th Apr 1:35am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 6th Apr 6:30am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (7)
7 predictions
Comments (1)
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