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Will we have at least one (1) period of 2 weeks or more in the U.S. where there is NO school shooting (by 15th June)?

Settled as Yes

One period of no school shootings in the US has occurred and lasted two weeks. The last shooting was on Feb. 14 at Illinois University.

Background:

Just too many of these lately. I'm becoming paranoid.



Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
96%
No
4%
Activity: H$37,374
Settled as Yes on Thu 20th Mar 1:11pm PDT

Suspend date: Sun 15th Jun 11:59pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 20th Mar 1:11pm PDT

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Thu 6th Mar 1:13pm PST by mbasinger4
Edited Sun 9th Mar 3:51pm PDT by lesley[Admin]
Settlement requested Wed 19th Mar 7:27pm PDT by bcguelph: Settlement is required. Since the creation of this question, no shooting has occured, although one did occur overseas.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/School_shooting


http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0777958.html

Note: there will be no media story saying that it has been two weeks... obviously.

Thanks Hubdub Team!!
Settled as 'Yes' Thu 20th Mar 1:11pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: One period of no school shootings in the US has occurred and lasted two weeks. The last shooting was on Feb. 14 at Illinois University.

Suspend date: Sun 15th Jun 11:59pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 20th Mar 1:11pm PDT
more info...

 

Predictions (43)

43 predictions

36 weeks ago
scottykr predicted Yes (H$100 at 94%)
37 weeks ago
sparklyllama predicted Yes (H$50 at 82%)
37 weeks ago
opie predicted Yes (H$50 at 82%)
37 weeks ago
yorgen123 predicted Yes (H$100 at 82%)
37 weeks ago
pencilpusher predicted Yes (H$100 at 82%)
more

Comments (4)

  1 pics4d
needs an end date
posted 38 weeks ago
What is/isn't a "similar tragedy"?
The plurality of US schools are out for the summer, by the end of June at the latest. Setting the initial likelihood at 50:50 seems a bit off. Maybe an end date of "June 1, 2008"?
posted 38 weeks ago
  3 lesley[Admin]
Edited title and suspend time.

Lesley
Hubdub Category Manager
posted 38 weeks ago
  4 bcguelph
Can anyone find out when the last such "event" took place. Seems to me that I've had this position for a couple of weeks with no such stories hitting the news sites that I read...

This also begs the question - how does one demonstrate a NON-event to allow for settlement?
posted 36 weeks ago

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