Will we have at least one (1) period of 2 weeks or more in the U.S. where there is NO school shooting (by 15th June)?
One period of no school shootings in the US has occurred and lasted two weeks. The last shooting was on Feb. 14 at Illinois University.
Background:>
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Yes |
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No |
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Suspend date: Sun 15th Jun 11:59pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 20th Mar 1:11pm PDT
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/School_shooting
http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0777958.html
Note: there will be no media story saying that it has been two weeks... obviously.
Thanks Hubdub Team!!
Suspend date: Sun 15th Jun 11:59pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 20th Mar 1:11pm PDT
more info...
Predictions (43)
43 predictions
Comments (4)
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The plurality of US schools are out for the summer, by the end of June at the latest. Setting the initial likelihood at 50:50 seems a bit off. Maybe an end date of "June 1, 2008"?
Lesley
Hubdub Category Manager
This also begs the question - how does one demonstrate a NON-event to allow for settlement?
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