World Wide: how many 4.0 (or greater) earthquakes will there be on Mar. 22, 2008
I'm really sorry - I didn't pick up the non-mutual outcomes on this question until it had money on it and I can't change the outcomes after the market is running.
I also don't have any provision to settle a market with two winning outcomes.
I was hoping the answer would be something other than 9 so it could be settled properly, but since it is 9 I don't have any choice but to void the market.
Background:>
Settlement details:As reported by http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Quakes/quakes_all.php
| 0 to 3 |
| |||
| 4 to 6 |
| |||
| 7 to 9 |
| |||
| 9 to 12 |
| |||
| 13 or more |
|
- Activity: H$28,618 |
- Predictions: 57 |
Comments: 6
Suspend date: Fri 21st Mar 2008 11:59pm PST
Initial likelihoods: 0 to 3: 10%, 4 to 6: 25%, 7 to 9: 30%, 9 to 12: 25%, 13 or more: 10%
Action history:
there were 9 earth quakes on 3/22/08 (the newest update isun Mar 23 0:00:05 UTC 2008)
I also don't have any provision to settle a market with two winning outcomes.
I was hoping the answer would be something other than 9 so it could be settled properly, but since it is 9 I don't have any choice but to void the market.
I also don't have any provision to settle a market with two winning outcomes.
I was hoping the answer would be something other than 9 so it could be settled properly, but since it is 9 I don't have any choice but to void the market.
Suspend date: Fri 21st Mar 2008 11:59pm PST details
Predictions (57)
Comments (6)
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it would only be fair. honestly. also because I got the dough on both outcomes, hee hee.
c'mon folks a fun hubdub outcome.
jackpot time and happy days are here again.
I also don't have any provision to settle a market with two winning outcomes.
I was hoping the answer would be something other than 9 so it could be settled properly, but since it is 9 I don't have any choice but to void the market.
I do it in my spare time, that is not very variable, if you want create some question you can without problem!!
I'm sorry for the voiding, I will pay much attention the next times!
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