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When will HubDub user pics4d resume ACTIVE HubDub participation?

Voided

As much as we would all like pics4d to resume active participation, this can be gamed to some level. Maybe this will get his attention though--let's see!

Background:

pics4d stopped participating 2 weeks ago in protest of several things (see getsatisfaction). When will he begin to actively participate again...if at all


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Voided

Before May 1st
10%
in May
10%
June
10%
July
10%
August
10%
September
10%
October
10%
November
10%
December
10%
After January 1st or Never
10%
Voided Sun 13th Apr 8:43am PDT

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Before May 1st: 10%, in May: 10%, June: 10%, July: 10%, August: 10%, September: 10%, October: 10%, November: 10%, December: 10%, After January 1st or Never: 10%

Action history:

Created Sat 12th Apr 4:49pm PDT by theonecalledmichael
Voided Sun 13th Apr 8:43am PDT by diana: As much as we would all like pics4d to resume active participation, this can be gamed to some level. Maybe this will get his attention though--let's see!

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (17)

17 predictions

33 weeks ago
chefspedlly predicted After January 1st or Never (H$50 at 13%)
33 weeks ago
onedave[Power User] predicted After January 1st or Never (H$1 at 12%)
33 weeks ago
ladylara predicted After January 1st or Never (H$50 at 11%)
33 weeks ago
bayoubear[Admin] predicted in May (H$20 at 10%)

Comments (11)

The last option Includes January 1st...sorry
posted 33 weeks ago
Hehe, you are really into HubDub Michael man :-D ... Good deal :-D
posted 33 weeks ago
  3 dieseldog
might be open to gaming. pics4d could tell one of his friends to make a major bet and come back just to help them.
posted 33 weeks ago
well, so be it... except he isn't signing in, either... i could game any market if i colluded with a friend... it is an innocent question, and from pics4d ethical history, i think gaming the question is not an issue.... besides, HE is the ONLY person who could game this question.... pics4d left because of concerns of gaming and fairness.... i doubt he would do anything like that, and will be flattered that we are voting on his return...
posted 33 weeks ago
  6 dieseldog
tocm i ain't saying you or anybody else is gaming the question. lets be real..pics4d ain't happy with the site agreed? so one of his friends tell him about the question. just for spite he could tell them to make the bet...login and say hi and bye. if friends want to game the site one of them has to lose money. pics4d don't care about his account any more..makes it easiar to game. if and when the question gets settled it will be pretty simple to see if it got gamed.
posted 33 weeks ago
  7 ladylara
I don't really remember pics4d, sorry... but how about historyteacher? It's Jefferson's bday (that was his photo). I am sad that some have yet to return as the dust has settled.
posted 33 weeks ago
  8 cognos[Power User]
pics4d has dropped to 79th or thereabouts on the all time net worth leaderboard, but at one time, he was in the top 5 on most boards.
He ended up having to defend himself over and over again, and (I'm not sure exactly when), but he left all of a sudden.
historyteacher is/was a wonderful member of the community. always evenhanded, very informative, and he is surely missed.
posted 33 weeks ago
  9 epicur
Where is the "who cares" option for this question?
posted 33 weeks ago
the who cares button is behind the white X in the red square, top right hand corner of your screen.....

OK, now that epicur's vote has been registered, the question clearly states active participation, meaning a bet, a selling of an open position, etc.... let's let it ride, and if it is clear that the market was gamed, we'll void it..... pics4d said himself that he wouldn't be back... but i hate to lose someone who had a lot of helpful input on hubdub...
posted 33 weeks ago
sorry, epicur, now i know how you feel.... guess it's all relative... and we all have to live with the fact that there is no "who cares" button on those questions... no hard feelings...
posted 33 weeks ago

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