Created Fri 18th Apr 1:37pm PDT by 
valleytile
All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 » valleytile will people riot if Obama looses either the nomination, or the presidency.
Voided
The odds for the market seem to be to high. I think when the market needs to be reposted the odds need to be lower. Also when the market reposts the settlement details need to clearer, for example the riots need to be specifically caused by Obama's loss and must be reported as such. Anyway the question is very interesting and I do think it should be reposted.
Background:
After the riots of the past, for a lot less, I think that riots will occur if Obama seems to loose by a shakey or close margin.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: None
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 75%
Action history:
Created Fri 18th Apr 1:37pm PDT by valleytile
valleytile
Voided Sat 19th Apr 3:55am PDT by 
ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: The odds for the market seem to be to high. I think when the market needs to be reposted the odds need to be lower. Also when the market reposts the settlement details need to clearer, for example the riots need to be specifically caused by Obama's loss and must be reported as such. Anyway the question is very interesting and I do think it should be reposted.
ryanj: The odds for the market seem to be to high. I think when the market needs to be reposted the odds need to be lower. Also when the market reposts the settlement details need to clearer, for example the riots need to be specifically caused by Obama's loss and must be reported as such. Anyway the question is very interesting and I do think it should be reposted.
Suspend date: None
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Get widget!Predictions (9)
9 predictions
aland
quorny
kruijs![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted No (H$500 at 27%)
jenniandboysComments (6)
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Which is to say, if Ryan does decide to void valleytile should definitely repost with slightly lower odds and perhaps we need to define riot?? (I know I might personally break a window or two)
Of course this is all moot if he actually takes the nomination and the office, so there's a somewhat good chance this is working toward a void anyway...
This is a bad neighborhood
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