Tragedy
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Get the latest Tragedy questions by RSSLatest predictions
4 days ago
frogchop
predicted between 101 and 200 (H$3,000 at 74%) on How many US soldiers will kill themselves in 2009?2 weeks ago
coolkraft
predicted No (H$366 at 82%) on Will Continental employees be convicted of "involuntary homicide and injuries" in Concorde crash?2 weeks ago
corbelle
predicted No (H$50 at 66%) on Will the dog tags found of this war time mystery lead to a conclusion?
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air france airbus attack casualties crash madeleine mccann murder plane crash rebecca beach smith schipol school shooting sports sports events suicide terrorism terrorist attack titanic train crash turkish airlines washington
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What will be determined to be the primary cause of DC train crash?.
| train operator error |
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| signal error |
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| train mechanical error |
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| other cause |
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Activity: H$77,479
Question suspends in 1 yearSee:
111 predictors (365 days)
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What will be determined to be the primary cause of DC train crash?
Current forecast: signal error (79% chance
79%)
87 predictors (365 days)
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What's the 'main' cause of the fatal Schiphol plane crash?
Current forecast: Other Mechanical Problems (47% chance47%)
36 predictors (365 days)
Will there be any "school shootings" in 2009 in the U.S. resulting in 10 or more casualties?
Current forecast: 8% chance8%
29 predictors (365 days)
paddy112
Will Madeleine McCann be found by May 31st 2010?
Current forecast: no (95% chance95%)
27 predictors (365 days)
What is the primary cause of the crash of Air France Flight 447?
Current forecast: weather-related system problems (radar etc.) (34% chance34%)
27 predictors (365 days)
In 2009 will anymore sporting events be targeted by terrorists?
Current forecast: 36% chance36%
26 predictors (365 days)
What will be the 'main' cause of the plane crash outside of San Diego March 6th?
Current forecast: Other Reason or No News by suspend date (67% chance67%)
24 predictors (365 days)
Will Continental employees be convicted of "involuntary homicide and injuries" in Concorde crash?
Current forecast: 18% chance
30%22 predictors (365 days)
Will Monster Trucks have another accidental death during 2009?
Current forecast: 34% chance34%
22 predictors (365 days)
Will a terrorist attack in which more than 1000 US citizens die occur before Jan. 1st 2011?
Current forecast: 28% chance1%
21 predictors (365 days)
curios
Will the dog tags found of this war time mystery lead to a conclusion?
Current forecast: 25% chance25%
18 predictors (365 days)
Will there be any shaft collapses during construction of the underground lab in South Dakota?
Current forecast: 23% chance23%
16 predictors (365 days)
misterbojangles
How many more Iraq Vets will commit suicide before the troops are withdrawn?
Current forecast: 7218 to 14,400 suicides (52% chance52%)15 predictors (365 days)
jsevigny
How many US soldiers will kill themselves in 2009?
Current forecast: between 101 and 200 (71% chance71%)