
Is Kurt Beck, head of germanys SPD, going to resign before 1/1/2009?
Resigned Sept 7, 2008.
http://www.earthtimes.org/articles/show/230182,german-spd-in-drastic-reshuffle-ahead-of-september-2009-elections.html
Background:>
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Yes |
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No |
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Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (4 weeks to go) Settlement date: Sun 7th Sep 3:11pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 7th Sep 5:35am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
http://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/0,1518,576812,00.html (market suspended)
http://www.earthtimes.org/articles/show/230182,german-spd-in-drastic-reshuffle-ahead-of-september-2009-elections.html
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (4 weeks to go) Settlement date: Sun 7th Sep 3:11pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 7th Sep 5:35am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (23)
23 predictions
Comments (1)
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"Unless specified otherwise, a question asking when a public figure will resign will be settled on the date the figure announces their intention to resign rather than the date the resignation becomes effective"
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